- Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.09% based on similar historical setup states.
VCTR
TLV
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Victory Supermarket Chain Ltd · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
4,494 ILA
-2.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a 0.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
4,494 ILA
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.4%.
Indicator stack
34/28
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.09%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a 0.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2412-week average 0.66
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.4% over four weeks, -21.7% over 12 weeks, and -4.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change11.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.47Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
5 positive · 17 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-6.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-2.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIL Consumer Defensive
4-week rank16 / 34
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth17.6%
Trend17.6%active weekly trend signals
MD14.7%positive activity pressure
RS23.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIL Discount Stores
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-0.5%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape36/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.24; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.09%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.09% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
Why Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4,494 ILA | -2.3% | 5,336 ILA | 4,666 ILA | -1.27 | -20.47 | 18.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,598 ILA | 0.5% | 5,375 ILA | 4,661 ILA | -1.30 | -18.85 | 22.6K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,577 ILA | 2.0% | 5,405 ILA | 4,655 ILA | -1.35 | -21.79 | 2.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,489 ILA | 0.2% | 5,445 ILA | 4,649 ILA | -1.37 | -21.87 | 60.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,478 ILA | -5.8% | 5,473 ILA | 4,645 ILA | -1.44 | -21.09 | 17.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,756 ILA | 1.6% | 5,492 ILA | 4,640 ILA | -1.45 | -18.20 | 10.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,682 ILA | -1.7% | 5,494 ILA | 4,634 ILA | -1.36 | -18.00 | 3.7K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,763 ILA | -6.5% | 5,500 ILA | 4,627 ILA | -1.04 | -19.43 | 26.5K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5,095 ILA | -5.8% | 5,501 ILA | 4,620 ILA | -0.46 | -18.26 | 20.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5,410 ILA | -6.0% | 5,488 ILA | 4,611 ILA | -0.08 | -12.13 | 31.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5,754 ILA | -5.4% | 5,456 ILA | 4,601 ILA | 0.25 | -10.91 | 16.4K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 6,082 ILA | 5.9% | 5,417 ILA | 4,589 ILA | 0.25 | -5.09 | 82.1K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5,743 ILA | -0.8% | 5,364 ILA | 4,574 ILA | -0.02 | -10.71 | 13.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,791 ILA | 2.1% | 5,326 ILA | 4,562 ILA | -0.11 | -13.24 | 101.0K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.