ARNA JKT Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PT Arwana Citramulia Tbk · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Latest close 500.0 IDR
2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 8.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 500.0 IDR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.0% latest completed week
4W Return 8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.88% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 8.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.2% over four weeks, 5.5% over 12 weeks, and -6.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.0%
4W8.2%
12W5.5%
26W1.9%
52W-6.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change177.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership19.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-8.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains12
Flat weeks2
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026500.0 IDR2.0%473.5 IDR542.2 IDR0.6119.9525.0MOff
31 Jul 2026490.0 IDR1.2%472.9 IDR543.3 IDR0.2121.0915.6MOff
24 Jul 2026484.0 IDR4.8%472.9 IDR544.9 IDR-0.1420.6829.9MOff
17 Jul 2026462.0 IDR0.0%472.8 IDR546.5 IDR-0.5415.828.5MOff
10 Jul 2026462.0 IDR2.7%473.8 IDR548.3 IDR-0.7820.766.0MOff
3 Jul 2026450.0 IDR1.4%474.8 IDR549.9 IDR-1.0618.642.4MOff
26 Jun 2026444.0 IDR3.3%476.1 IDR551.5 IDR-1.3216.571.3MOff
19 Jun 2026430.0 IDR2.9%477.7 IDR553.3 IDR-1.437.685.5MOff
12 Jun 2026418.0 IDR2.0%480.0 IDR555.2 IDR-1.317.359.5MOff
5 Jun 2026410.0 IDR-8.1%483.2 IDR557.2 IDR-0.9412.824.0MOff
29 May 2026446.0 IDR-1.3%486.4 IDR559.3 IDR-0.1811.9318.8MOff
22 May 2026452.0 IDR-4.6%488.3 IDR561.2 IDR0.4512.5830.2MOff
15 May 2026474.0 IDR-4.0%489.5 IDR563.0 IDR0.998.0315.3MOff
8 May 2026494.0 IDR0.0%489.9 IDR564.7 IDR1.528.3118.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context