MEL MCE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Latest close 10.17 EUR
-1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -8.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 10.17 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.6% latest completed week
4W Return -8.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 24-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -8.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7712-week average 0.95

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.9% over four weeks, -13.8% over 12 weeks, and 26.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 24 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.6%
4W-8.9%
12W-13.8%
26W31.2%
52W26.5%
Active trend streak24 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1603.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-122.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

2 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryES Lodging
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-8.9%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202610.17 EUR-1.6%10.05 EUR7.37 EUR-0.99-2.501.1MOn
31 Jul 202610.34 EUR-1.0%9.98 EUR7.35 EUR-0.870.951.3MOn
24 Jul 202610.44 EUR-1.4%9.90 EUR7.32 EUR-0.692.931.3MOn
17 Jul 202610.59 EUR-5.1%9.81 EUR7.29 EUR-0.426.381.6MOn
10 Jul 202611.16 EUR-5.6%9.72 EUR7.27 EUR-0.0611.181.5MOn
3 Jul 202611.83 EUR-2.2%9.60 EUR7.24 EUR0.1415.17168.9KOn
26 Jun 202612.09 EUR-1.4%9.45 EUR7.20 EUR0.1920.71156.8KOn
19 Jun 202612.26 EUR7.4%9.29 EUR7.16 EUR0.3123.471.2MOn
12 Jun 202611.41 EUR5.6%9.11 EUR7.12 EUR0.4019.20223.3KOn
5 Jun 202610.81 EUR-3.7%8.96 EUR7.09 EUR0.7316.11257.2KOn
29 May 202611.23 EUR-2.0%8.84 EUR7.06 EUR1.1421.001.9MOn
22 May 202611.46 EUR-2.9%8.70 EUR7.02 EUR1.3526.761.6MOn
15 May 202611.80 EUR4.3%8.57 EUR6.99 EUR1.4934.142.3MOn
8 May 202611.31 EUR1.8%8.41 EUR6.95 EUR1.5827.682.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context