TFIN NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Triumph Financial, Inc. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 76.01 USD
0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -3.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 62d.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 76.01 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.1% latest completed week
4W Return -3.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 23.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.1%. Indicator stack 74/66 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 41/100 conviction; expected move 6.8%. News sentiment 53/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 62d Next report is scheduled for 14 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -3.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.1% over four weeks, 23.4% over 12 weeks, and 41.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.1%
4W-3.1%
12W23.4%
26W11.2%
52W41.9%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-22.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-48.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 67% Model confidence 67%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value37/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth37/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
47.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

TFIN shows bearish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.16, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction41/100
Expected move6.8%
Put/call volume2.16
Pressure-28
Speculation12
Volatility74
Trend agreement75
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

15 positive · 31 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings62dNext report is scheduled for 14 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.4%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+0.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape62/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis89/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; No reversal markers Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 68; Small Cap Core rank 63 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options51/100

TFIN shows bearish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.16, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.8% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

Have Insiders Sold Triumph Financial Shares Recently? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings62d

Next report is scheduled for 14 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202676.01 USD0.1%67.55 USD69.93 USD0.997.511.1MOn
31 Jul 202675.93 USD-1.3%67.32 USD69.89 USD1.2911.481.0MOn
24 Jul 202676.91 USD-4.6%66.90 USD69.85 USD1.4514.461.7MOn
17 Jul 202680.61 USD2.8%66.47 USD69.81 USD1.5019.362.1MOn
10 Jul 202678.44 USD1.9%65.85 USD69.72 USD1.2814.701.6MOn
3 Jul 202677.01 USD0.3%65.27 USD69.63 USD1.1814.131.0MOn
26 Jun 202676.81 USD6.6%64.75 USD69.54 USD1.1316.301.5MOn
19 Jun 202672.07 USD-4.8%64.01 USD69.44 USD0.976.821.1MOn
12 Jun 202675.68 USD6.2%63.39 USD69.35 USD0.8713.311.1MOn
5 Jun 202671.27 USD0.0%62.61 USD69.26 USD0.557.421.1MOn
29 May 202671.25 USD6.7%62.03 USD69.19 USD0.414.65902.7KOn
22 May 202666.77 USD8.4%61.47 USD69.10 USD0.28-0.61992.8KOn
15 May 202661.60 USD-7.4%61.24 USD69.02 USD0.30-7.741.4MOn
8 May 202666.52 USD-1.5%60.94 USD68.96 USD0.32-0.611.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context