- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.82% based on similar historical setup states.
KPN
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
KON. KPN N.V. A · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Latest close
4.04 EUR
-1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 75.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
4.04 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-12.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.3%.
Indicator stack
34/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.82%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 75.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -3.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3412-week average 0.66
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.3% over four weeks, -12.1% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 79%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength66/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Value43/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum44/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 18.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 72.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 24.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 18.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 3.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 2.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 10.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Communication Services
4-week rank36 / 49
Group average6.9%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD38.8%positive activity pressure
RS20.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Telecom Services
4-week rank13 / 18
Group average20.1%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD22.2%positive activity pressure
RS22.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis27/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.34; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.82%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.82% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors61/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 23; Small Cap Core rank 46 SVQF49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 192.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4.04 EUR | -1.5% | 4.39 EUR | 3.82 EUR | -1.37 | -13.87 | 29.4K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.10 EUR | 0.2% | 4.38 EUR | 3.81 EUR | -1.42 | - | 22.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.09 EUR | -1.4% | 4.37 EUR | 3.81 EUR | -1.48 | - | 23.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.15 EUR | -0.7% | 4.37 EUR | 3.80 EUR | -1.46 | - | 13.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.18 EUR | 0.7% | 4.36 EUR | 3.79 EUR | -1.50 | - | 14.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.15 EUR | -5.2% | 4.34 EUR | 3.79 EUR | -1.46 | - | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.38 EUR | 3.3% | 4.33 EUR | 3.78 EUR | -1.41 | - | 11.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.24 EUR | -4.6% | 4.32 EUR | 3.76 EUR | -1.38 | - | 245 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.45 EUR | 2.4% | 4.30 EUR | 3.75 EUR | -1.21 | - | 314 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.34 EUR | -2.8% | 4.28 EUR | 3.74 EUR | -1.16 | - | 411 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.47 EUR | -3.3% | 4.26 EUR | 3.72 EUR | -1.03 | - | 25.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.62 EUR | 0.4% | 4.18 EUR | 3.71 EUR | -0.93 | - | 18.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.60 EUR | 0.6% | 4.09 EUR | 3.68 EUR | -0.69 | - | 4.3K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.58 EUR | 0.8% | 4.01 EUR | 3.66 EUR | -0.43 | - | 13.4K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.