NWF LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NWF Group plc · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

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Latest close 154.0 GBP
10.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.4%, after a 12.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 154.0 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 10.4% latest completed week
4W Return 12.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.77% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 10.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 12.8%. Indicator stack 49/85 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Buy Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.77% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.4%, after a 12.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3212-week average 0.15

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

7 accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.8% over four weeks, 15.8% over 12 weeks, and -10.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.4%
4W12.8%
12W15.8%
26W14.1%
52W-10.9%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change49.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change76.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum7/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework74/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
18.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
6.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
2.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
48.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
28.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

0 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-3.5%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+10.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks2
Modest losses12
Sharp losses0
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryGB Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

NWF · LSE12.8%DCC · LSE1.6%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape55/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis58/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.77%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.77% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors43/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 72; Buyback Yield rank 78; Small Cap Core rank 2 SVQF74/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 67.5 of 260 Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

NWF Group plc 2026 Q4 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (OTCMKTS:NWFFF) 2026-07-29 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026154.0 GBP10.4%134.9 GBP173.4 GBP1.74-3.25720.5KOn
31 Jul 2026139.5 GBP-1.1%134.1 GBP174.2 GBP1.68-12.65942.2KOn
24 Jul 2026141.0 GBP0.7%133.8 GBP175.1 GBP1.54-11.32413.1KOn
17 Jul 2026140.0 GBP2.6%133.3 GBP175.9 GBP1.41-11.50390.9KOn
10 Jul 2026136.5 GBP-0.7%133.0 GBP176.7 GBP1.16-13.54588.2KOn
3 Jul 2026137.5 GBP0.4%132.9 GBP177.5 GBP0.94-15.0838.8KOn
26 Jun 2026137.0 GBP2.6%132.6 GBP178.3 GBP0.77-14.7061.0KOn
19 Jun 2026133.5 GBP-1.8%132.3 GBP179.1 GBP0.62-16.3765.1KOn
12 Jun 2026136.0 GBP1.1%133.4 GBP179.9 GBP0.51-16.39111.9KOff
5 Jun 2026134.5 GBP-0.4%134.5 GBP180.6 GBP0.43-17.1249.6KOff
29 May 2026135.0 GBP1.5%135.8 GBP181.5 GBP0.21-17.72135.0KOff
22 May 2026133.0 GBP0.0%137.3 GBP182.2 GBP-0.00-19.93283.1KOff
15 May 2026133.0 GBP4.3%138.9 GBP183.0 GBP-0.13-18.52597.0KOff
8 May 2026127.5 GBP1.2%140.6 GBP183.7 GBP-0.18-22.82294.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context