ABREL NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aditya Birla Real Estate Limited · Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Latest close 1,383 INR
-2.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 34.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.5%, after a -4.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 1,383 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.5% latest completed week
4W Return -4.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 3.8% 2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 34.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.5%, after a -4.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.3% over four weeks, 7.0% over 12 weeks, and -25.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.5%
4W-4.3%
12W7.0%
26W2.3%
52W-25.9%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-77.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 77%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
21.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
43.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-45.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
76.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-66.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-10.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

5 positive · 28 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-13.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-2.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,383 INR-2.5%1,323 INR1,786 INR0.82-6.69624.8KOn
31 Jul 20261,418 INR3.2%1,331 INR1,784 INR0.95-4.20487.3KOn
24 Jul 20261,374 INR-5.1%1,340 INR1,781 INR0.93-5.33501.1KOff
17 Jul 20261,449 INR0.3%1,350 INR1,779 INR0.87-3.23709.8KOff
10 Jul 20261,444 INR2.9%1,359 INR1,776 INR0.67-3.77718.2KOff
3 Jul 20261,403 INR4.4%1,367 INR1,773 INR0.35-7.56412.2KOff
26 Jun 20261,344 INR5.3%1,379 INR1,769 INR0.16-11.530Off
19 Jun 20261,277 INR6.8%1,393 INR1,766 INR0.11-16.74386.8KOff
12 Jun 20261,196 INR-3.4%1,408 INR1,763 INR0.09-21.75261.3KOff
5 Jun 20261,238 INR-0.5%1,427 INR1,760 INR0.30-19.32115.9KOff
29 May 20261,244 INR-0.5%1,444 INR1,758 INR0.57-20.51753.1KOff
22 May 20261,250 INR-3.3%1,466 INR1,755 INR0.77-21.51754.1KOff
15 May 20261,292 INR-13.1%1,480 INR1,752 INR0.92-19.392.6MOff
8 May 20261,486 INR-0.0%1,491 INR1,748 INR0.87-10.131.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context