- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
KCC
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Kincora Copper Limited · Basic Materials · Copper
Latest close
0.88 AUD
-0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 3.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
0.88 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.5%.
Indicator stack
34/51
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
56/100
40 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 3.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.17
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.5% over four weeks, -3.3% over 12 weeks, and 46.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change73.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-37.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 58%
Model confidence 54%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength43/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Value47/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality45/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Momentum46/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Growth47/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -4.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -9.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -9.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.
14 positive · 25 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-17.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.4% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Copper
4-week rank11 / 21
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD38.1%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Factors44/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 82; Small Cap Core rank 56 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.
Copper Stocks With Strong Margins Investors May Want On Their Watchlist Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.88 AUD | -0.6% | 0.93 AUD | 0.57 AUD | -0.28 | -11.02 | 155.9K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.89 AUD | 9.3% | 0.93 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -0.47 | -7.20 | 87.0K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.81 AUD | 6.6% | 0.94 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -0.73 | -12.74 | 66.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.76 AUD | -10.6% | 0.95 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.02 | -18.02 | 56.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.85 AUD | 3.7% | 0.95 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.06 | -8.00 | 55.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.82 AUD | 17.1% | 0.96 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.35 | -11.20 | 10.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.70 AUD | -17.6% | 0.96 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.43 | -22.84 | 43.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.85 AUD | 4.3% | 0.97 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.29 | -6.40 | 24 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.81 AUD | -7.4% | 0.98 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.27 | -9.10 | 19.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.88 AUD | -5.4% | 0.99 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -1.04 | 1.08 | 148.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.93 AUD | 1.9% | 1.00 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -0.93 | 6.68 | 20.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.91 AUD | 0.3% | 1.01 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -0.88 | 6.92 | 175.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.91 AUD | -2.2% | 1.01 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -0.93 | 8.34 | 136.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.93 AUD | -1.1% | 1.02 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -1.05 | 10.75 | 251.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.