MEX Equity Snapshot

MRNA Weekly Equity Report

Moderna, Inc.

Latest Close 855.0 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 3.2% latest completed week
4W Return 2.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

MRNA closed the latest completed week at 855.0 MXN. The 4-week return is 2.3% and the 12-week return is -6.6%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.81. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 51/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 11.4%
Volume 0.6x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 68 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 49 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 25 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 27 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 34 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
767.2 MXN
Vs Trend Line
11.4%
Fair Value
1,167 MXN
Vs Fair Value
-26.7%
52W High
1,045 MXN
52W Low
414.0 MXN
Drawdown
-18.2%
Range Position
69.9%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 3.2%
4W 2.3%
12W -6.6%
26W 61.1%
52W 71.0%

Trend read

Active Streak
22 weeks
52W Active Weeks
22
52W Active Breadth
42.3%
Sector Scope
MX Healthcare
Sector Rank
8 of 78
Sector Percentile
90.9%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.81
4W MD Change
-134.3%
Relative Strength
24.08
4W RS Change
-2.3%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
46.87%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
2.8K
13W Average
4.4K
52W Average
18.1K
Vs 13W
0.6x
Vs 52W
0.2x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.5%
52W Volatility
8.5%
Upside Weeks
28
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
7.8% / -6.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
319.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 22-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 855.0 MXN 3.2% 767.2 MXN 1,167 MXN -0.81 24.08 2.8K On
5 Jun 2026 828.8 MXN -1.8% 753.9 MXN 1,176 MXN -0.76 24.49 4.6K On
29 May 2026 844.0 MXN 2.9% 741.3 MXN 1,184 MXN -0.57 23.09 1.3K On
22 May 2026 820.2 MXN -1.9% 730.1 MXN 1,193 MXN -0.55 20.85 979 On
15 May 2026 836.0 MXN -10.0% 719.0 MXN 1,202 MXN -0.35 24.65 1.8K On
8 May 2026 929.4 MXN 16.2% 707.0 MXN 1,211 MXN -0.03 35.90 5.5K On
1 May 2026 800.0 MXN -9.8% 692.3 MXN 1,220 MXN 0.22 21.56 5.3K On
24 Apr 2026 887.3 MXN -5.6% 683.3 MXN 1,230 MXN 0.67 32.69 25.7K On
17 Apr 2026 940.0 MXN 4.4% 668.6 MXN 1,240 MXN 0.92 40.35 1.7K On
10 Apr 2026 900.0 MXN 0.6% 652.5 MXN 1,250 MXN 1.10 35.06 1.4K On
3 Apr 2026 895.0 MXN -0.6% 637.0 MXN 1,263 MXN 1.36 35.66 113 On
27 Mar 2026 900.7 MXN -1.6% 622.9 MXN 1,275 MXN 1.75 43.50 1.2K On
20 Mar 2026 915.0 MXN -2.4% 607.9 MXN 1,287 MXN 1.89 52.05 4.3K On
13 Mar 2026 937.2 MXN 0.3% 594.3 MXN 1,299 MXN 1.91 52.73 60.9K On