- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.87% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
OCT
JNB
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Octodec Investments Limited · Real Estate · Reit - Diversified
Latest close
17.49 ZAC
0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 0.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
29
out of 100
Latest Close
17.49 ZAC
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-99.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
76.9%
40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.3%.
Indicator stack
42/33
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.87%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 0.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0912-week average 0.51
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.3% over four weeks, -99.0% over 12 weeks, and -98.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year40
Trend breadth76.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change24.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-98.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-99.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility26.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-98.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol26.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorZA Real Estate
4-week rank18 / 37
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth5.4%
Trend5.4%active weekly trend signals
MD2.7%positive activity pressure
RS2.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryZA Reit - Diversified
4-week rank4 / 11
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.87%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.87% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Octodec lifts first-half revenue, distributable income Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 17.49 ZAC | 0.6% | 1,045 ZAC | 1,059 ZAC | -1.08 | -98.51 | 219.9K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 17.39 ZAC | 0.5% | 1,092 ZAC | 1,065 ZAC | -1.19 | -98.47 | 381.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 17.30 ZAC | 3.5% | 1,141 ZAC | 1,070 ZAC | -1.30 | -98.48 | 158.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 16.72 ZAC | -4.1% | 1,187 ZAC | 1,076 ZAC | -1.38 | -98.56 | 139.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 17.43 ZAC | 1.6% | 1,234 ZAC | 1,082 ZAC | -1.43 | -98.54 | 76.7K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 17.15 ZAC | 0.4% | 1,279 ZAC | 1,087 ZAC | -1.47 | -98.60 | 27.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 17.08 ZAC | -2.8% | 1,328 ZAC | 1,092 ZAC | -1.49 | -98.62 | 5.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 17.58 ZAC | 2.4% | 1,376 ZAC | 1,098 ZAC | -1.10 | -98.63 | 2.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 17.16 ZAC | -1.0% | 1,423 ZAC | 1,104 ZAC | -0.58 | -98.69 | 37.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 17.34 ZAC | -98.9% | 1,468 ZAC | 1,109 ZAC | -0.05 | -98.68 | 104.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,651 ZAC | -2.8% | 1,510 ZAC | 1,115 ZAC | 0.44 | 19.76 | 76.3K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,699 ZAC | 1.1% | 1,497 ZAC | 1,110 ZAC | 0.67 | 25.55 | 306.3K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,681 ZAC | 3.7% | 1,481 ZAC | 1,106 ZAC | 0.83 | 23.59 | 466.2K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,621 ZAC | -4.0% | 1,465 ZAC | 1,102 ZAC | 1.01 | 16.45 | 426.5K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.