- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
TOTO
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Latest close
234.0 IDR
-3.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
51
out of 100
Latest Close
234.0 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
65.4%
34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.48% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.7%.
Indicator stack
36/63
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.48%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -1.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and -4.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change117.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-68.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
0 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.7%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-3.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains8
Flat weeks3
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Industrials
4-week rank80 / 100
Group average9.2%
Trend breadth14.0%
Trend14.0%active weekly trend signals
MD51.0%positive activity pressure
RS61.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Building Products & Equipment
4-week rank8 / 9
Group average4.2%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis30/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.48%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.48% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
TOTO (TSE:5332) Lifts Guidance And Dividend Following A Pullback But Fair Value Still Looks Higher Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 234.0 IDR | -3.3% | 253.1 IDR | 215.5 IDR | 0.21 | 5.82 | 11.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 242.0 IDR | 0.0% | 254.3 IDR | 215.2 IDR | -0.11 | 12.73 | 1.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 242.0 IDR | -0.8% | 255.3 IDR | 214.9 IDR | -0.47 | 13.93 | 2.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 244.0 IDR | 2.5% | 256.2 IDR | 214.6 IDR | -0.81 | 15.86 | 3.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 238.0 IDR | 1.7% | 257.1 IDR | 214.2 IDR | -1.15 | 18.41 | 2.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 234.0 IDR | 0.0% | 258.3 IDR | 213.9 IDR | -1.30 | 17.98 | 169.9K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 234.0 IDR | -0.8% | 259.7 IDR | 213.5 IDR | -1.36 | 18.12 | 275.5K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 236.0 IDR | 1.7% | 261.1 IDR | 213.2 IDR | -1.43 | 14.24 | 162.2K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 232.0 IDR | 7.7% | 262.3 IDR | 212.9 IDR | -1.40 | 15.95 | 2.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 215.4 IDR | -7.3% | 263.9 IDR | 212.5 IDR | -1.36 | 16.22 | 1.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 232.4 IDR | 0.8% | 266.0 IDR | 212.3 IDR | -1.17 | 15.11 | 1.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 230.6 IDR | -5.4% | 267.6 IDR | 212.0 IDR | -1.04 | 14.09 | 8.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 243.8 IDR | -0.8% | 268.8 IDR | 211.7 IDR | -1.06 | 11.08 | 4.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 245.7 IDR | -3.7% | 269.3 IDR | 211.3 IDR | -1.09 | 8.41 | 11.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.