AGARIND NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

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Latest close 514.5 INR
3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 23.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -4.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 24 out of 100
Latest Close 514.5 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.0% latest completed week
4W Return -4.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 23.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.05% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.3%. Indicator stack 0/63 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.05% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 23.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -4.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.3% over four weeks, 23.9% over 12 weeks, and -45.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.0%
4W-4.3%
12W23.9%
26W-26.9%
52W-45.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.76Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality41/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Momentum3/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Growth2/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
6.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-31.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-62.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

0 positive · 12 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-48.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-16.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses10
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape19/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 19/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis28/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.05%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.05% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 89; Buyback Yield rank 22; Small Cap Core rank 5 SVQF53/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 747.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

Stocks to Watch Today: BHEL, Agarwal Industrial, JBM Auto, Rajesh Exports, Indian Energy Exchange,... Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026514.5 INR3.0%509.5 INR892.6 INR0.76-19.03292.8KOff
31 Jul 2026499.8 INR4.6%516.3 INR894.5 INR0.79-21.784.3MOff
24 Jul 2026477.7 INR-3.6%523.6 INR896.8 INR0.72-24.33150.4KOff
17 Jul 2026495.4 INR-7.9%532.1 INR899.0 INR0.82-24.33227.5KOff
10 Jul 2026537.8 INR0.8%539.3 INR900.9 INR0.85-18.40181.6KOff
3 Jul 2026533.7 INR-2.3%544.2 INR901.8 INR0.81-20.0549.8KOff
26 Jun 2026546.2 INR-0.3%550.7 INR902.2 INR0.91-18.330Off
19 Jun 2026547.8 INR13.3%558.1 INR902.8 INR0.76-18.8267.3KOff
12 Jun 2026483.5 INR-5.7%566.7 INR903.1 INR0.51-27.94213.8KOff
5 Jun 2026512.7 INR23.5%577.7 INR903.9 INR0.26-23.723.0MOff
29 May 2026415.0 INR1.3%589.3 INR904.5 INR-0.04-39.40176.5KOff
22 May 2026409.9 INR-1.3%604.1 INR905.6 INR-0.24-41.40149.5KOff
15 May 2026415.4 INR-9.1%620.4 INR906.8 INR-0.33-41.42242.3KOff
8 May 2026457.1 INR9.6%636.1 INR908.4 INR-0.33-37.86459.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context