NVSN MEX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Novartis AG · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

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Latest close 2,677 MXN
-1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 72.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 2,677 MXN 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.2% latest completed week
4W Return -2.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 21.52% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.4%. Indicator stack 41/66 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 21.52% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 66/100 9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 72.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4512-week average 0.39

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.4% over four weeks, 4.4% over 12 weeks, and 21.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.2%
4W-2.4%
12W4.4%
26W2.5%
52W21.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change157.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.

7 positive · 5 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-4.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks4
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape54/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis34/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.45; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 21.52%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 21.52% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.

SBO Strengthens Position in 3D Metal Printing: Expanded Capacity in the US and the UK, Award for 3T Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262,677 MXN-1.2%2,678 MXN2,119 MXN0.173.9568Off
31 Jul 20262,710 MXN1.5%2,674 MXN2,112 MXN0.155.3472Off
24 Jul 20262,671 MXN-0.9%2,667 MXN2,105 MXN0.054.7920Off
17 Jul 20262,696 MXN-1.7%2,660 MXN2,098 MXN-0.055.5727Off
10 Jul 20262,742 MXN0.6%2,651 MXN2,092 MXN-0.307.786Off
3 Jul 20262,725 MXN0.0%2,640 MXN2,084 MXN-0.536.440Off
26 Jun 20262,725 MXN6.3%2,630 MXN2,077 MXN-0.806.420Off
19 Jun 20262,563 MXN-1.5%2,619 MXN2,070 MXN-0.98-0.400Off
12 Jun 20262,601 MXN4.9%2,610 MXN2,064 MXN-0.990.740Off
5 Jun 20262,479 MXN-4.9%2,604 MXN2,057 MXN-1.04-1.260Off
29 May 20262,606 MXN-1.2%2,599 MXN2,052 MXN-0.990.17140Off
22 May 20262,638 MXN2.8%2,590 MXN2,046 MXN-1.001.8891Off
15 May 20262,565 MXN2.2%2,578 MXN2,040 MXN-1.01-0.2859Off
8 May 20262,511 MXN-3.3%2,567 MXN2,034 MXN-1.02-4.921.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context