MEX Equity Snapshot

NVSN Weekly Equity Report

Novartis AG

Latest Close 2,601 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 4.9% latest completed week
4W Return 1.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, markets, and sells pharmaceutical medicines in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers Entresto, an angiotensin receptorneprilysin inhibitor to treat symptomatic chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF); Cosentyx to treat plaque psoriasis, pso riatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, and nonradiographic axial spondy loarthritis; Kisqali, a selective oral cyclin dependent inhibitor of kinases 4 and 6 (CDK4/6); Promacta/Revolade to treat immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), thrombocytopenia, and patients with severe aplastic anemia (SAA); Tafinlar+Mekinist, an oral combination therapy to treat patients with certain types of cancers; and Jakavi for the treatment of …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

NVSN closed the latest completed week at 2,601 MXN. The 4-week return is 1.4% and the 12-week return is -8.5%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.98. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 46/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -0.3%
Volume 0.0x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 47 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 46 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 33 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 82 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 1 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 69 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
2,610 MXN
Vs Trend Line
-0.3%
Fair Value
2,064 MXN
Vs Fair Value
26.0%
52W High
2,862 MXN
52W Low
2,089 MXN
Drawdown
-9.1%
Range Position
66.2%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 4.9%
4W 1.4%
12W -8.5%
26W 8.6%
52W 24.5%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
44
52W Active Breadth
84.6%
Sector Scope
MX Healthcare
Sector Rank
3 of 78
Sector Percentile
97.4%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.98
4W MD Change
2.7%
Relative Strength
0.74
4W RS Change
367.7%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
22.58%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
26
13W Average
813
52W Average
280
Vs 13W
0.0x
Vs 52W
0.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.8%
52W Volatility
2.3%
Upside Weeks
19
Downside Weeks
12
Downside Breadth
23.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.7% / -2.3%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - General
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
4972.5B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 2,601 MXN 4.9% 2,610 MXN 2,064 MXN -0.98 0.74 26 Off
5 Jun 2026 2,479 MXN -4.9% 2,604 MXN 2,057 MXN -1.03 -1.26 124 Off
29 May 2026 2,606 MXN -1.2% 2,599 MXN 2,052 MXN -0.99 0.17 140 Off
22 May 2026 2,638 MXN 2.8% 2,590 MXN 2,046 MXN -1.00 1.88 91 Off
15 May 2026 2,565 MXN 2.2% 2,578 MXN 2,040 MXN -1.01 -0.28 59 Off
8 May 2026 2,511 MXN -3.3% 2,567 MXN 2,034 MXN -1.02 -4.92 1.8K On
1 May 2026 2,598 MXN -1.1% 2,558 MXN 2,029 MXN -0.88 1.16 87 On
24 Apr 2026 2,626 MXN 1.4% 2,547 MXN 2,024 MXN -0.36 0.13 37 On
17 Apr 2026 2,589 MXN -3.5% 2,534 MXN 2,016 MXN 0.23 -2.19 30 On
10 Apr 2026 2,684 MXN -3.1% 2,521 MXN 2,009 MXN 0.85 0.86 20 On
3 Apr 2026 2,771 MXN -2.5% 2,505 MXN 2,001 MXN 1.31 4.34 8.1K On
27 Mar 2026 2,843 MXN 0.0% 2,486 MXN 1,992 MXN 1.44 11.69 0 On
20 Mar 2026 2,843 MXN 0.0% 2,465 MXN 1,983 MXN 1.50 16.17 0 On
13 Mar 2026 2,843 MXN -0.3% 2,444 MXN 1,974 MXN 1.55 13.61 5 On