- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ALFA
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alfa Financial Software Holdings PLC · Technology · Software - Application
Latest close
166.2 GBP
1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 5.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
166.2 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
13.5%
7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.3%.
Indicator stack
7/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 5.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2312-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.3% over four weeks, 6.5% over 12 weeks, and -27.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.92Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change81.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change16.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 63.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 31.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 25.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 86.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 15.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 17.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 39.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 5.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
3 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Technology
4-week rank36 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Software - Application
4-week rank18 / 52
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth23.1%
Trend23.1%active weekly trend signals
MD61.5%positive activity pressure
RS17.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis32/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.23; No reversal markers Factors34/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 44; Small Cap Core rank 83 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Alfa Financial Software Holdings Plc Revenue Breakdown – LSE:ALFA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 166.2 GBP | 1.5% | 168.2 GBP | 192.9 GBP | 0.92 | -20.87 | 2.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 163.8 GBP | 1.4% | 169.8 GBP | 192.8 GBP | 0.86 | -22.53 | 4.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 161.6 GBP | 0.7% | 171.3 GBP | 192.7 GBP | 0.74 | -23.38 | 3.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 160.4 GBP | 1.6% | 173.0 GBP | 192.7 GBP | 0.64 | -23.64 | 2.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 157.8 GBP | -2.2% | 174.8 GBP | 192.6 GBP | 0.50 | -24.84 | 6.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 161.4 GBP | 4.4% | 177.0 GBP | 192.6 GBP | 0.24 | -25.12 | 684.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 154.6 GBP | 2.9% | 179.0 GBP | 192.5 GBP | 0.10 | -27.79 | 584.6K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 150.2 GBP | 0.0% | 181.4 GBP | 192.8 GBP | 0.04 | -29.59 | 742.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 150.2 GBP | -4.1% | 183.7 GBP | 193.0 GBP | 0.00 | -31.02 | 281.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 156.6 GBP | -1.5% | 186.2 GBP | 193.3 GBP | 0.04 | -28.17 | 429.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 159.0 GBP | 2.3% | 188.2 GBP | 193.5 GBP | 0.05 | -28.18 | 2.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 155.4 GBP | -0.4% | 190.5 GBP | 193.5 GBP | -0.25 | -30.95 | 3.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 156.0 GBP | -3.7% | 192.9 GBP | 193.5 GBP | -0.52 | -29.62 | 6.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 162.0 GBP | 7.0% | 195.2 GBP | 193.5 GBP | -0.67 | -27.99 | 12.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.