CAT31 PAR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 121.7 EUR
0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a -4.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 121.7 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.5% latest completed week
4W Return -4.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a -4.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7012-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.9% over four weeks, -8.1% over 12 weeks, and 29.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.5%
4W-4.9%
12W-8.1%
26W11.0%
52W29.1%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.79Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-391.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-121.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.8%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-9.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+0.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026121.7 EUR0.5%121.3 EUR82.70 EUR-0.79-1.99847On
31 Jul 2026121.2 EUR1.1%120.9 EUR82.28 EUR-0.500.164.6KOn
24 Jul 2026119.8 EUR-3.7%120.3 EUR81.87 EUR-0.370.972.0KOn
17 Jul 2026124.5 EUR-2.7%119.7 EUR81.49 EUR-0.155.712.1KOn
10 Jul 2026128.0 EUR-3.0%119.0 EUR81.07 EUR0.279.186.1KOn
3 Jul 2026132.0 EUR1.8%118.1 EUR80.65 EUR0.5911.02174On
26 Jun 2026129.7 EUR-9.2%117.2 EUR80.19 EUR0.9311.351.4KOn
19 Jun 2026142.9 EUR-4.8%116.4 EUR79.76 EUR1.3522.941.9KOn
12 Jun 2026150.0 EUR2.0%115.1 EUR79.25 EUR1.5231.253.3KOn
5 Jun 2026147.0 EUR5.8%113.8 EUR78.71 EUR1.4831.931.6KOn
29 May 2026139.0 EUR0.0%112.7 EUR78.17 EUR1.4626.545.3KOn
22 May 2026139.0 EUR4.9%111.8 EUR77.69 EUR1.3728.708.3KOn
15 May 2026132.5 EUR3.1%111.1 EUR77.20 EUR1.1426.332.2KOn
8 May 2026128.5 EUR4.5%110.5 EUR76.73 EUR0.9921.211.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context