MEX Equity Snapshot

NVAX Weekly Equity Report

Novavax, Inc.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 155.0 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -3.7% latest completed week
4W Return -3.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company commercializes Nuvaxovid, a COVID-19 vaccine; and R21 Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. It has license and collaboration agreements with Sanofi, Pfizer Inc., Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, and Serum Life Sciences Limited for the to develop, manufacture, and commercialize the COVID-19 vaccine. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

NVAX closed the latest completed week at 155.0 MXN. The 4-week return is -3.1% and the 12-week return is -9.3%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.13. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 37/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 3.6%
Volume 1.3x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 42 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 34 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 52 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 36 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 54 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 1 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
149.6 MXN
Vs Trend Line
3.6%
Fair Value
152.0 MXN
Vs Fair Value
1.9%
52W High
204.9 MXN
52W Low
115.0 MXN
Drawdown
-24.3%
Range Position
44.5%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -3.7%
4W -3.1%
12W -9.3%
26W 28.3%
52W 17.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
6 weeks
52W Active Weeks
20
52W Active Breadth
38.5%
Sector Scope
MX Healthcare
Sector Rank
64 of 78
Sector Percentile
18.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.13
4W MD Change
54.3%
Relative Strength
-0.97
4W RS Change
-140.7%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
36.21%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
2.3K
13W Average
1.8K
52W Average
3.8K
Vs 13W
1.3x
Vs 52W
0.6x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
11.4%
52W Volatility
9.4%
Upside Weeks
23
Downside Weeks
28
Downside Breadth
53.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
9.0% / -6.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
31.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 155.0 MXN -3.7% 149.6 MXN 152.0 MXN -0.13 -0.97 2.3K On
5 Jun 2026 161.0 MXN -15.7% 148.7 MXN 151.9 MXN -0.10 5.68 1.7K On
29 May 2026 191.0 MXN 21.0% 147.8 MXN 151.7 MXN 0.03 20.87 2.1K On
22 May 2026 157.8 MXN -1.4% 146.6 MXN 151.4 MXN -0.24 0.52 1.6K On
15 May 2026 160.0 MXN -8.6% 146.6 MXN 151.2 MXN -0.28 2.39 2.1K On
8 May 2026 175.0 MXN 25.0% 146.2 MXN 151.0 MXN -0.33 9.03 4.2K On
1 May 2026 140.0 MXN -2.1% 145.6 MXN 150.9 MXN -0.49 -9.87 1.4K Off
24 Apr 2026 143.0 MXN -5.9% 146.8 MXN 150.8 MXN -0.33 -9.97 3.0K Off
17 Apr 2026 152.0 MXN 7.0% 147.1 MXN 150.8 MXN -0.14 -5.40 357 On
10 Apr 2026 142.0 MXN -2.1% 147.2 MXN 150.9 MXN 0.16 -11.98 513 On
3 Apr 2026 145.0 MXN -5.9% 147.4 MXN 151.0 MXN 0.51 -9.83 616 On
27 Mar 2026 154.0 MXN -9.9% 147.5 MXN 151.0 MXN 0.90 -0.05 1.1K On
20 Mar 2026 170.9 MXN -7.6% 147.0 MXN 150.8 MXN 1.11 14.98 2.2K On
13 Mar 2026 185.0 MXN 4.5% 146.2 MXN 150.4 MXN 1.11 21.37 2.3K On