- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
HERC
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hercules Plc · Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services
Latest close
0.42 GBP
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 42.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
0.42 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
42.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
21.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.76% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 42.4%.
Indicator stack
13/81
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.76%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 42.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.04
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 42.4% over four weeks, 21.7% over 12 weeks, and 1.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change194.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change89.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 71%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value53/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Quality54/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Momentum54/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Growth54/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework16/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 15.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 1.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 6.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 18.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 37.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
1 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-19.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks8
Modest losses2
Sharp losses7
Recent vol13.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.6% / -7.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average9.1%
Trend breadth46.0%
Trend46.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Staffing & Employment Services
4-week rank5 / 10
Group average29.1%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.76%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.76% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors54/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50 SVQF16/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 293.5 of 351 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Hercules Capital, Inc. (0J4M) Q3 2025 Earnings Report - Results, Call & Slides Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.42 GBP | 0.0% | 0.39 GBP | 0.38 GBP | 0.86 | -3.40 | 579.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.42 GBP | 5.0% | 0.39 GBP | 0.38 GBP | 0.57 | -3.43 | 646.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.40 GBP | 31.1% | 0.40 GBP | 0.38 GBP | 0.18 | -7.27 | 1.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.30 GBP | 3.4% | 0.40 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -0.47 | -28.71 | 772.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.29 GBP | 1.7% | 0.41 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -0.90 | -30.99 | 532.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.29 GBP | 23.4% | 0.41 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -1.22 | -33.95 | 391.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.23 GBP | -4.1% | 0.42 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -1.41 | -46.18 | 319.1K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.24 GBP | -15.5% | 0.42 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -1.26 | -43.81 | 92.5K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.29 GBP | 0.0% | 0.43 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -0.96 | -34.96 | 31.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.29 GBP | -4.9% | 0.43 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -0.90 | -35.05 | 861.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.30 GBP | -19.2% | 0.43 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -0.85 | -32.71 | 1.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.38 GBP | 9.4% | 0.44 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -0.94 | -18.06 | 1.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.34 GBP | 0.0% | 0.44 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -1.18 | -23.75 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.34 GBP | 0.0% | 0.44 GBP | 0.38 GBP | -1.21 | -24.74 | 0 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.