RI PAR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Pernod Ricard SA · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Latest close 70.32 EUR
3.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 13.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 70.32 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.4% latest completed week
4W Return 13.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.15% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 13.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.09

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.6% over four weeks, 13.9% over 12 weeks, and -24.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.4%
4W13.6%
12W13.9%
26W-12.7%
52W-24.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change616.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change45.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

1 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-9.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+3.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202670.32 EUR3.4%68.11 EUR103.7 EUR0.93-11.773.3MOff
31 Jul 202668.00 EUR8.1%68.25 EUR104.3 EUR0.70-13.343.4MOff
24 Jul 202662.90 EUR0.0%68.41 EUR105.0 EUR0.35-19.123.1MOff
17 Jul 202662.88 EUR1.6%68.76 EUR105.8 EUR0.29-19.633.1MOff
10 Jul 202661.88 EUR0.5%69.20 EUR106.5 EUR0.13-21.543.1MOff
3 Jul 202661.57 EUR-3.2%69.68 EUR107.3 EUR-0.12-24.10318.6KOff
26 Jun 202663.57 EUR2.8%70.19 EUR108.0 EUR-0.35-21.09545.8KOff
19 Jun 202661.82 EUR-2.6%70.66 EUR108.8 EUR-0.59-24.052.5MOff
12 Jun 202663.44 EUR2.2%71.22 EUR109.5 EUR-0.80-21.96614.4KOff
5 Jun 202662.10 EUR-2.1%71.75 EUR110.2 EUR-0.94-22.90725.6KOff
29 May 202663.42 EUR-2.1%72.35 EUR111.0 EUR-0.88-21.413.9MOff
22 May 202664.76 EUR4.9%72.99 EUR111.7 EUR-0.92-19.612.2MOff
15 May 202661.76 EUR-3.0%73.69 EUR112.5 EUR-0.86-22.243.0MOff
8 May 202663.68 EUR1.3%74.51 EUR113.3 EUR-0.72-21.953.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context