- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
GNFC
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited · Basic Materials · Chemicals
Latest close
535.5 INR
4.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 6.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
535.5 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
28.8%
15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.6%.
Indicator stack
44/49
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
49/100
27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 6.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5612-week average 0.49
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.6% over four weeks, 4.1% over 12 weeks, and 11.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-72.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change91.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength92/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality36/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth33/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework61/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 47.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 1.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -1.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 35.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -29.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
4 positive · 19 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-5.3%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Basic Materials
4-week rank26 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS63.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Chemicals
4-week rank14 / 40
Group average3.3%
Trend breadth77.5%
Trend77.5%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS62.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis75/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.56; No reversal markers Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 35; Small Cap Core rank 4 SVQF61/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 622.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
Mitsui Chemicals (TSE:4183) Stock Rallies As Earnings Rebound Reshapes Value Debate Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 535.5 INR | 4.9% | 479.7 INR | 555.3 INR | 0.26 | 10.65 | 4.4M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 510.3 INR | 1.4% | 477.8 INR | 555.0 INR | 0.27 | 6.46 | 1.6M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 503.0 INR | 0.1% | 477.2 INR | 555.1 INR | 0.48 | 7.66 | 903.6K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 502.7 INR | 0.0% | 476.7 INR | 555.3 INR | 0.73 | 5.10 | 1.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 502.5 INR | -5.1% | 476.1 INR | 555.5 INR | 0.93 | 5.55 | 1.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 529.2 INR | -3.2% | 475.8 INR | 555.7 INR | 0.93 | 10.88 | 461.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 546.8 INR | -3.7% | 474.9 INR | 555.7 INR | 0.85 | 15.67 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 567.7 INR | 12.7% | 473.2 INR | 555.7 INR | 0.83 | 20.54 | 812.9K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 503.9 INR | 0.8% | 470.7 INR | 555.4 INR | 0.88 | 9.13 | 183.4K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 499.8 INR | -0.9% | 470.8 INR | 555.5 INR | 1.09 | 9.47 | 175.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 504.3 INR | -0.5% | 470.5 INR | 555.6 INR | 1.28 | 9.65 | 1.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 506.6 INR | -1.5% | 470.4 INR | 555.7 INR | 1.20 | 9.40 | 9.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 514.3 INR | 3.7% | 470.1 INR | 555.9 INR | 1.03 | 11.59 | 4.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 496.1 INR | 5.7% | 469.5 INR | 556.0 INR | 0.91 | 5.48 | 2.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.