CNR TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Canadian National Railway Company · Industrials · Railroads

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Latest close 176.5 CAD
-1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 0.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 72 out of 100
Latest Close 176.5 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 0.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 31-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.2%. Indicator stack 78/82 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 61.73% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 55/100 32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 0.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.96

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.2% over four weeks, 15.3% over 12 weeks, and 41.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 31 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.0%
4W0.2%
12W15.3%
26W28.2%
52W41.4%
Active trend streak31 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change20.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-31.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength48/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Value19/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth28/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework43/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
22.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
42.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
37.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
8.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
7.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

11 positive · 19 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Railroads
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-4.7%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

CNR · TOR0.2%CP · TOR0.0%KLS · TOR-14.3%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape73/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 73/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis83/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.99; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.73%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.73% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors56/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 14 SVQF43/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 175.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

How Does Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR) Gain From Network Expansion? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026176.5 CAD-1.0%155.5 CAD147.8 CAD1.718.386.2MOn
31 Jul 2026178.2 CAD-2.5%154.2 CAD147.6 CAD1.7713.207.4MOn
24 Jul 2026182.9 CAD1.1%152.8 CAD147.4 CAD1.7415.906.3MOn
17 Jul 2026180.9 CAD2.7%151.1 CAD147.2 CAD1.6615.236.0MOn
10 Jul 2026176.2 CAD2.2%149.6 CAD146.9 CAD1.4312.184.9MOn
3 Jul 2026172.4 CAD0.8%148.2 CAD146.8 CAD1.379.86493.4KOn
26 Jun 2026171.0 CAD7.1%146.9 CAD146.6 CAD1.319.621.6MOn
19 Jun 2026159.7 CAD-4.0%145.6 CAD146.4 CAD1.252.291.9MOn
12 Jun 2026166.5 CAD-0.3%144.6 CAD146.4 CAD1.216.422.3MOn
5 Jun 2026167.0 CAD2.9%143.5 CAD146.2 CAD1.048.191.3MOn
29 May 2026162.4 CAD3.5%142.3 CAD146.1 CAD0.913.908.8MOn
22 May 2026156.9 CAD2.5%141.3 CAD146.0 CAD0.760.996.9MOn
15 May 2026153.1 CAD0.8%140.5 CAD145.9 CAD0.81-0.029.5MOn
8 May 2026151.9 CAD0.3%139.8 CAD145.9 CAD0.74-1.985.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context