SENCO NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Senco Gold Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Latest close 388.8 INR
-3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a 7.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 388.8 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 7.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a 7.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7712-week average 0.55

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.4% over four weeks, 16.2% over 12 weeks, and 17.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.6%
4W7.4%
12W16.2%
26W17.1%
52W17.6%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.49Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change101.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.81Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change42.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework89/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-9.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-10.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
33.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
260.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

7 positive · 10 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.7%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-3.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026388.8 INR-3.6%332.7 INR391.7 INR1.4916.817.4MOn
31 Jul 2026403.2 INR5.3%331.5 INR390.5 INR1.4922.4625.5MOn
24 Jul 2026382.9 INR5.0%328.8 INR389.2 INR1.1819.9410.2MOn
17 Jul 2026364.5 INR0.7%326.7 INR388.0 INR0.8711.9411.2MOn
10 Jul 2026362.1 INR11.1%325.1 INR386.9 INR0.7411.8320.0MOn
3 Jul 2026326.0 INR0.8%323.4 INR385.9 INR0.610.62681.0KOn
26 Jun 2026323.5 INR-5.0%322.8 INR386.2 INR0.780.710On
19 Jun 2026340.4 INR0.6%322.4 INR386.6 INR0.966.12288.7KOn
12 Jun 2026338.4 INR-3.5%321.7 INR387.0 INR0.957.35332.2KOn
5 Jun 2026350.8 INR1.3%321.5 INR387.3 INR0.9512.56590.5KOn
29 May 2026346.2 INR-0.5%320.9 INR387.5 INR1.0210.306.7MOn
22 May 2026348.0 INR4.0%320.1 INR387.8 INR0.819.953.6MOn
15 May 2026334.7 INR-8.4%319.2 INR388.1 INR0.666.1512.0MOff
8 May 2026365.4 INR16.7%318.5 INR388.4 INR0.4413.299.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context