- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AIR
NZE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Air New Zealand Limited · Industrials · Airlines
Latest close
0.42 NZD
2.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -2.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 40/100.
Setup score
27
out of 100
Latest Close
0.42 NZD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
19.2%
10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.32% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.3%.
Indicator stack
11/54
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Buy
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.32%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
40/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -2.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals3Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.3% over four weeks, 6.2% over 12 weeks, and -25.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-25.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment40/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
1 positive · 9 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalFresh
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.1%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains6
Flat weeks4
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Industrials
4-week rank12 / 18
Group average-2.4%
Trend breadth44.4%
Trend44.4%active weekly trend signals
MD72.2%positive activity pressure
RS55.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Airlines
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-2.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape23/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.32%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.32% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalFreshActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Fresh buy signal Sentiment40/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
New Zealand Shares Rise; Air New Zealand Group Capacity Rises in June Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.42 NZD | 2.4% | 0.47 NZD | 0.55 NZD | 0.32 | -21.19 | 4.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.41 NZD | -4.6% | 0.47 NZD | 0.55 NZD | 0.28 | -22.86 | 4.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.43 NZD | 4.8% | 0.48 NZD | 0.55 NZD | 0.31 | -20.13 | 2.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.41 NZD | -4.6% | 0.48 NZD | 0.56 NZD | 0.28 | -23.84 | 3.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.43 NZD | -3.3% | 0.49 NZD | 0.56 NZD | 0.42 | -21.25 | 2.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.45 NZD | 2.3% | 0.49 NZD | 0.56 NZD | 0.33 | -18.08 | 564.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.44 NZD | -7.4% | 0.50 NZD | 0.56 NZD | 0.18 | -19.61 | 1.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.47 NZD | 13.1% | 0.50 NZD | 0.56 NZD | 0.05 | -13.73 | 6.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.42 NZD | -1.2% | 0.51 NZD | 0.56 NZD | -0.30 | -23.51 | 1.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.42 NZD | -3.4% | 0.52 NZD | 0.56 NZD | -0.59 | -21.79 | 445.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.44 NZD | 3.5% | 0.52 NZD | 0.57 NZD | -0.80 | -20.05 | 6.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.42 NZD | 6.2% | 0.53 NZD | 0.57 NZD | -1.08 | -21.78 | 6.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.40 NZD | -5.9% | 0.53 NZD | 0.57 NZD | -1.28 | -26.71 | 8.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.42 NZD | 0.0% | 0.54 NZD | 0.57 NZD | -1.34 | -23.94 | 7.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.