9516 SAU Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Natural Gas Distribution Company · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Latest close 22.62 SAR
-1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a -5.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 19 out of 100
Latest Close 22.62 SAR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.7% latest completed week
4W Return -5.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -19.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a -5.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.26

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.7% over four weeks, -19.8% over 12 weeks, and -37.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.7%
4W-5.7%
12W-19.8%
26W-9.2%
52W-37.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.85Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-713.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-8.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

2 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains5
Flat weeks4
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split13/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustrySA Utilities - Regulated Gas
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-5.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202622.62 SAR-1.7%25.91 SAR41.84 SAR-0.85-22.5728.5KOff
31 Jul 202623.01 SAR-0.4%26.15 SAR42.06 SAR-0.80-20.124.7KOff
24 Jul 202623.11 SAR-1.2%26.35 SAR42.30 SAR-0.51-22.016.9KOff
17 Jul 202623.40 SAR-2.5%26.58 SAR42.54 SAR-0.17-21.3118.0KOff
10 Jul 202624.00 SAR-4.0%26.81 SAR42.76 SAR0.14-20.8017.1KOff
3 Jul 202625.00 SAR-2.3%27.03 SAR42.96 SAR0.45-18.4948.7KOff
26 Jun 202625.60 SAR-0.7%27.24 SAR43.15 SAR0.64-18.4027.0KOff
19 Jun 202625.79 SAR-2.4%27.49 SAR43.32 SAR0.67-19.9114.3KOff
12 Jun 202626.41 SAR-6.2%27.81 SAR43.49 SAR0.84-18.1119.3KOff
5 Jun 202628.15 SAR2.9%28.06 SAR43.62 SAR0.94-13.0411.6KOff
29 May 202627.35 SAR0.0%28.26 SAR43.75 SAR0.92-16.460Off
22 May 202627.35 SAR-3.0%28.56 SAR43.89 SAR0.97-16.4637.8KOff
15 May 202628.21 SAR1.3%28.85 SAR44.05 SAR0.94-14.519.1KOff
8 May 202627.84 SAR0.0%29.25 SAR44.19 SAR0.89-16.562.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context