- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.16% based on similar historical setup states.
SILGO
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Silgo Retail Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
Latest close
70.17 INR
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -6.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
70.17 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
96.2%
50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.2%.
Indicator stack
53/22
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.16%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -6.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3712-week average 0.56
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.2% over four weeks, -4.9% over 12 weeks, and 27.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-91.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-123.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 55%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value46/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Quality45/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Momentum47/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Growth45/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework33/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 34.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 24.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -0.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 18.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -1.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 26.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 42.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -140.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
0 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-7.4%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average6.0%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS64.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Luxury Goods
4-week rank25 / 28
Group average6.1%
Trend breadth60.7%
Trend60.7%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis60/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.37; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.16%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.16% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors43/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 4 SVQF33/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1057.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Silgo Retail dispatches EGM notice for August 27 meeting Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 70.17 INR | 0.3% | 74.52 INR | 48.00 INR | -1.17 | -1.95 | 1.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 69.94 INR | -5.6% | 74.59 INR | 47.67 INR | -1.08 | -1.13 | 437.6K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 74.06 INR | -1.5% | 74.80 INR | 47.36 INR | -0.90 | 7.88 | 781.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 75.17 INR | 0.5% | 75.00 INR | 47.01 INR | -0.74 | 7.58 | 716.1K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 74.80 INR | -1.7% | 75.00 INR | 46.68 INR | -0.61 | 8.26 | 812.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 76.13 INR | 0.6% | 74.91 INR | 46.34 INR | -0.48 | 10.48 | 191.8K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 75.66 INR | 1.0% | 74.71 INR | 45.96 INR | -0.35 | 11.55 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 74.94 INR | -0.2% | 74.34 INR | 45.59 INR | 0.02 | 11.51 | 313.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 75.10 INR | -2.0% | 73.99 INR | 45.24 INR | 0.17 | 14.33 | 418.1K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 76.65 INR | -7.1% | 73.71 INR | 44.88 INR | 0.24 | 18.81 | 380.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 82.48 INR | 7.1% | 73.34 INR | 44.52 INR | 0.50 | 27.82 | 2.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 77.03 INR | 4.4% | 72.83 INR | 44.11 INR | 0.36 | 19.64 | 3.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 73.80 INR | -6.8% | 72.43 INR | 43.73 INR | 0.40 | 15.68 | 4.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 79.18 INR | 0.3% | 72.18 INR | 43.36 INR | 0.38 | 22.33 | 4.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.