- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
1451
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MS Group Holdings Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
1.24 HKD
26.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 26.5%, after a 22.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
1.24 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
26.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
22.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-17.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.37% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
26.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 22.8%.
Indicator stack
45/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.37%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 26.5%, after a 22.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1212-week average 0.42
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 22.8% over four weeks, -17.3% over 12 weeks, and 44.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.92Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change24.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1971.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-47.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-20.0%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+26.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol10.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth11.0%
Trend11.0%active weekly trend signals
MD39.0%positive activity pressure
RS24.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Packaging & Containers
4-week rank4 / 16
Group average21.5%
Trend breadth43.8%
Trend43.8%active weekly trend signals
MD43.8%positive activity pressure
RS43.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.12; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.37%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.37% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.24 HKD | 26.5% | 1.19 HKD | 0.79 HKD | -0.92 | 13.57 | 5.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.98 HKD | 5.4% | 1.19 HKD | 0.79 HKD | -1.20 | -10.44 | 480.0K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.93 HKD | -4.1% | 1.20 HKD | 0.78 HKD | -1.24 | -11.80 | 460.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.97 HKD | -4.0% | 1.21 HKD | 0.78 HKD | -1.23 | -6.37 | 496.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.01 HKD | 7.4% | 1.22 HKD | 0.78 HKD | -1.23 | -0.73 | 344.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.94 HKD | -3.1% | 1.22 HKD | 0.78 HKD | -1.29 | -4.05 | 344.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.97 HKD | -11.0% | 1.23 HKD | 0.77 HKD | -1.24 | 2.20 | 128.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.09 HKD | 2.8% | 1.23 HKD | 0.77 HKD | -1.15 | 9.18 | 1.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.06 HKD | -8.6% | 1.23 HKD | 0.76 HKD | -0.96 | 3.22 | 152.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.16 HKD | 1.8% | 1.22 HKD | 0.76 HKD | -0.49 | 12.29 | 294.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.14 HKD | -5.0% | 1.21 HKD | 0.76 HKD | 0.01 | 10.04 | 1.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.20 HKD | -20.0% | 1.20 HKD | 0.75 HKD | 0.05 | 14.53 | 6.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.50 HKD | -2.6% | 1.19 HKD | 0.75 HKD | -0.02 | 42.14 | 3.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.54 HKD | 25.2% | 1.17 HKD | 0.74 HKD | -0.28 | 45.26 | 22.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.