- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
43A
SES
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Octopus (APAC) Holdings Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
0.05 SGD
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -9.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
22
out of 100
Latest Close
0.05 SGD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-9.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-14.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 27.84% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -9.6%.
Indicator stack
33/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 27.84%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -9.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.35
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -9.6% over four weeks, -14.5% over 12 weeks, and 23.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-100.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
2 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher6 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains5
Flat weeks5
Modest losses11
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSG Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank67 / 81
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth29.6%
Trend29.6%active weekly trend signals
MD24.7%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySG Restaurants
4-week rank12 / 15
Group average8.3%
Trend breadth26.7%
Trend26.7%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS13.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 27.84%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 27.84% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Octopus (APAC) Subsidiary to Lose Corona, Budweiser Distribution Rights in Singapore Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.05 SGD | 0.0% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.17 | -22.65 | 591.3K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -2.1% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.13 | -21.79 | 787.0K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -4.0% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.07 | -19.70 | 1.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -3.8% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.13 | -15.28 | 2.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -1.9% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.19 | -11.32 | 1.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.05 SGD | 8.2% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.30 | -5.74 | 725.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -5.8% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.42 | -11.87 | 1.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.05 SGD | 4.0% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.38 | -6.56 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -3.8% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.40 | -7.13 | 1.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -1.9% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.37 | -3.93 | 285.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.05 SGD | 3.9% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.30 | -1.82 | 1.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.05 SGD | -7.3% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -1.23 | -6.05 | 1.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.06 SGD | -5.2% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -0.89 | 2.93 | 5.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.06 SGD | -1.7% | 0.06 SGD | 0.04 SGD | -0.52 | 10.23 | 6.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.