CPH Equity Snapshot

BAVA Weekly Equity Report

Bavarian Nordic A/S

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 184.1 DKK 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -2.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Bavarian Nordic A/S develops, manufactures, and supplies life-saving vaccines. The company offers non-replicating smallpox and monkeypox vaccines under the IMVAMUNE, IMVANEX, and JYNNEOS names; rabies vaccine for human use under the Rabipur/RabAvert name; tick-borne encephalitis vaccine under the Encepur name; Vaxchora, an oral vaccine for immunization against cholera; and Vivotif/Typhoral, an oral vaccine for immunization against typhoid fever. It is also developing MVA-BN WEV, that is in phase 2 trial for the treatment of encephalitis viruses. It operates in the United States, Denmark, Canada, France, Germany, Singapore, England, Finland, Switzerland, Japan, Austria, Italy, Spain, Taiwan, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

BAVA closed the latest completed week at 184.1 DKK. The 4-week return is -2.2% and the 12-week return is -3.3%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.20. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 31/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -3.6%
Volume 0.8x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 17 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 42 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 49 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 15 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 34 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 33 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
191.0 DKK
Vs Trend Line
-3.6%
Fair Value
185.1 DKK
Vs Fair Value
-0.6%
52W High
244.8 DKK
52W Low
165.8 DKK
Drawdown
-24.8%
Range Position
23.2%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 0.8%
4W -2.2%
12W -3.3%
26W -2.3%
52W 0.1%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
16
52W Active Breadth
30.8%
Sector Scope
DK Healthcare
Sector Rank
7 of 21
Sector Percentile
70.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.20
4W MD Change
26.5%
Relative Strength
-10.72
4W RS Change
-32.6%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
60.02%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
815.1K
13W Average
1.0M
52W Average
1.6M
Vs 13W
0.8x
Vs 52W
0.5x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
3.2%
52W Volatility
5.4%
Upside Weeks
32
Downside Weeks
20
Downside Breadth
38.5%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.4% / -3.5%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
CPH
Country
DK
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
Currency
DKK
Market Cap
14.1B

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 184.1 DKK 0.8% 191.0 DKK 185.1 DKK -0.20 -10.72 815.1K Off
5 Jun 2026 182.6 DKK -2.6% 190.7 DKK 185.3 DKK -0.03 -10.67 660.6K Off
29 May 2026 187.4 DKK -4.9% 191.0 DKK 185.5 DKK 0.10 -9.73 855.4K Off
22 May 2026 197.0 DKK 4.6% 192.7 DKK 185.5 DKK 0.05 -5.06 1.2M Off
15 May 2026 188.3 DKK -0.7% 194.2 DKK 185.5 DKK -0.27 -8.09 1.6M Off
8 May 2026 189.7 DKK 0.9% 195.8 DKK 185.6 DKK -0.26 -6.01 911.8K Off
1 May 2026 188.0 DKK 0.7% 197.3 DKK 185.7 DKK -0.11 -7.07 653.8K Off
24 Apr 2026 186.7 DKK -6.7% 198.7 DKK 185.7 DKK 0.03 -6.46 912.6K Off
17 Apr 2026 200.2 DKK 1.4% 200.1 DKK 185.7 DKK 0.14 -2.50 1.0M Off
10 Apr 2026 197.4 DKK 0.9% 201.2 DKK 185.6 DKK 0.10 -1.91 1.3M Off
3 Apr 2026 195.7 DKK 2.5% 202.4 DKK 185.6 DKK -0.07 0.11 933.9K Off
27 Mar 2026 191.0 DKK 0.4% 203.8 DKK 185.6 DKK -0.11 2.33 883.4K Off
20 Mar 2026 190.3 DKK 4.8% 205.3 DKK 185.7 DKK -0.00 3.27 1.5M Off
13 Mar 2026 181.6 DKK -0.6% 206.9 DKK 185.6 DKK 0.04 -3.72 1.3M Off