- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.48% based on similar historical setup states.
OLY
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Olympia Financial Group Inc. · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
103.2 CAD
-2.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
103.2 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-15.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.7%.
Indicator stack
20/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.48%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -2.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.42
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.7% over four weeks, -15.6% over 12 weeks, and -12.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.75Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change21.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.63Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-13.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value77/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth10/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework91/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 73.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 24.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 26.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 74.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -4.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -17.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -14.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 6.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
2 positive · 21 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-2.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Financial Services
4-week rank62 / 83
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth69.9%
Trend69.9%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Asset Management
4-week rank34 / 44
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth70.5%
Trend70.5%active weekly trend signals
MD54.5%positive activity pressure
RS52.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis13/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.48%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.48% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors69/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 62; Small Cap Core rank 30 SVQF91/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 28.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
Cognizant Earnings: Financial Services and North America Drive Resilient Performance Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 103.2 CAD | -2.4% | 113.0 CAD | 99.51 CAD | -0.75 | -19.63 | 5.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 105.7 CAD | 0.7% | 113.2 CAD | 99.24 CAD | -0.77 | -15.64 | 9.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 105.0 CAD | 1.6% | 113.4 CAD | 98.95 CAD | -0.85 | -17.23 | 9.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 103.4 CAD | -2.6% | 113.5 CAD | 98.67 CAD | -0.91 | -18.86 | 5.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 106.1 CAD | -1.7% | 113.7 CAD | 98.43 CAD | -0.95 | -17.38 | 4.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 107.9 CAD | 1.7% | 113.8 CAD | 98.17 CAD | -1.03 | -16.37 | 3.9K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 106.1 CAD | 3.0% | 113.9 CAD | 97.83 CAD | -1.11 | -17.65 | 4.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 103.0 CAD | 0.5% | 114.1 CAD | 97.52 CAD | -1.04 | -20.55 | 1.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 102.5 CAD | 2.6% | 114.4 CAD | 97.26 CAD | -0.84 | -21.48 | 600 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 99.83 CAD | -2.7% | 114.6 CAD | 97.00 CAD | -0.48 | -22.81 | 900 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 102.6 CAD | -10.4% | 115.1 CAD | 96.76 CAD | -0.17 | -21.93 | 44.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 114.5 CAD | -6.4% | 115.4 CAD | 96.50 CAD | 0.08 | -12.55 | 23.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 122.3 CAD | 1.5% | 115.2 CAD | 96.17 CAD | 0.33 | -5.08 | 4.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 120.5 CAD | -0.6% | 114.7 CAD | 95.80 CAD | 0.44 | -7.24 | 3.8K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.