- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
9444
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
315.0 JPY
42.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 42.5%, after a 26.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
315.0 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
42.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
26.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
41.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
7.7%
4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
42.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 26.5%.
Indicator stack
4/91
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Buy
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 42.5%, after a 26.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2312-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 26.5% over four weeks, 41.9% over 12 weeks, and -48.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change402.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-39.04Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalFresh
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-50.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility20.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+42.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-32.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+42.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses6
Recent vol20.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -5.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD77.0%positive activity pressure
RS23.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Specialty Retail
4-week rank2 / 47
Group average4.8%
Trend breadth51.1%
Trend51.1%active weekly trend signals
MD76.6%positive activity pressure
RS19.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis20/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.23; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalFreshActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Fresh buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Toshin Holdings (9444) Revenue Breakdown - Main Composition Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 315.0 JPY | 42.5% | 313.9 JPY | 567.7 JPY | 0.50 | -39.04 | 1.9M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 221.0 JPY | -5.2% | 317.5 JPY | 569.6 JPY | 0.14 | -57.43 | 51.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 233.0 JPY | -3.7% | 324.0 JPY | 572.2 JPY | 0.22 | -56.49 | 47.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 242.0 JPY | -2.8% | 330.0 JPY | 574.7 JPY | 0.12 | -55.64 | 251.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 249.0 JPY | -3.9% | 336.0 JPY | 577.1 JPY | -0.17 | -58.41 | 57.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 259.0 JPY | 4.0% | 342.5 JPY | 579.5 JPY | -0.29 | -58.60 | 598.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 249.0 JPY | 20.9% | 349.1 JPY | 581.8 JPY | -0.69 | -60.95 | 18.1K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 206.0 JPY | -17.6% | 356.0 JPY | 584.2 JPY | -0.87 | -69.32 | 5.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 250.0 JPY | 34.4% | 364.2 JPY | 586.8 JPY | -0.88 | -60.89 | 414.8K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 186.0 JPY | -18.8% | 371.9 JPY | 589.2 JPY | -0.92 | -71.87 | 22.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 229.0 JPY | 4.1% | 381.3 JPY | 591.9 JPY | -0.69 | -66.13 | 232.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 220.0 JPY | -0.9% | 392.3 JPY | 594.3 JPY | -0.42 | -66.76 | 1.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 222.0 JPY | -32.1% | 405.3 JPY | 596.8 JPY | -0.03 | -66.22 | 1.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 327.0 JPY | -1.8% | 418.4 JPY | 599.3 JPY | 0.06 | -52.34 | 11.8K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.