- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
GVF
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Staude Capital Global Value Fund Limited · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
1.38 AUD
0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
1.38 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.0%.
Indicator stack
37/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 0.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3812-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, 4.2% over 12 weeks, and 3.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change30.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-213.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 64%
Model confidence 32%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value88/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum85/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 7.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 32.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 18.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 12.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -65.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -6.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -1.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
5 positive · 6 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.4%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-2.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains13
Flat weeks3
Modest losses10
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.5% / -1.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Financial Services
4-week rank65 / 100
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth43.0%
Trend43.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Asset Management
4-week rank58 / 100
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth29.0%
Trend29.0%active weekly trend signals
MD72.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis42/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.38; 2 reversal markers Factors88/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 77; Small Cap Core rank 80 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
Earnings To Watch: BlackSky Technology Inc (BKSY) Q2 2026 -- GF Value Sees 59% Downside Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.38 AUD | 0.4% | 1.34 AUD | 1.21 AUD | 1.10 | -2.75 | 303.5K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.38 AUD | 0.0% | 1.34 AUD | 1.20 AUD | 1.17 | -0.03 | 328.2K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.38 AUD | 1.1% | 1.34 AUD | 1.20 AUD | 1.13 | 2.30 | 290.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.36 AUD | -1.4% | 1.34 AUD | 1.20 AUD | 0.91 | 0.97 | 473.9K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.38 AUD | -0.4% | 1.34 AUD | 1.20 AUD | 0.84 | 2.41 | 628.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.39 AUD | 3.4% | 1.35 AUD | 1.19 AUD | 0.56 | 2.37 | 115.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.34 AUD | -1.5% | 1.35 AUD | 1.19 AUD | 0.36 | 0.01 | 41.1K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.36 AUD | 1.1% | 1.35 AUD | 1.19 AUD | 0.26 | 0.75 | 157.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.34 AUD | 1.9% | 1.35 AUD | 1.19 AUD | 0.12 | -0.06 | 233.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.32 AUD | 0.0% | 1.35 AUD | 1.18 AUD | -0.00 | 0.14 | 486.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.32 AUD | 0.8% | 1.35 AUD | 1.18 AUD | -0.12 | -1.07 | 21.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.31 AUD | -1.1% | 1.35 AUD | 1.18 AUD | -0.30 | -1.00 | 492.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.32 AUD | 0.4% | 1.35 AUD | 1.18 AUD | -0.49 | 0.39 | 347.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.32 AUD | 0.4% | 1.35 AUD | 1.17 AUD | -0.65 | -1.29 | 471.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.