- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.57% based on similar historical setup states.
PC2
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PCGOLDLTD FPO [PC2] · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
1.05 AUD
11.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.1%, after a -7.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
1.05 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
11.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-28.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
28.6%
12 of 42 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
11.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.0%.
Indicator stack
16/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.57%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.1%, after a -7.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6612-week average 0.79
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.0% over four weeks, -28.0% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth28.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.89Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change6.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
3 positive · 8 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+11.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/13Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.2% / -7.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Gold
4-week rank81 / 100
Group average5.5%
Trend breadth6.0%
Trend6.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.66; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.57%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.57% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
ASX Preview: Australian Shares to Rise on Gold Gains; Capstone Copper Q2 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Up Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.05 AUD | 11.1% | 1.02 AUD | 0.81 AUD | -0.89 | - | 2.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.95 AUD | 7.3% | 0.99 AUD | 0.80 AUD | -0.93 | - | 903.2K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.89 AUD | -16.5% | 0.98 AUD | 0.80 AUD | -0.95 | - | 2.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.06 AUD | -6.6% | 0.96 AUD | 0.80 AUD | -0.99 | - | 409.3K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.14 AUD | -5.0% | 0.93 AUD | 0.79 AUD | -0.95 | - | 912.0K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.20 AUD | -0.4% | 0.90 AUD | 0.78 AUD | -0.96 | - | 102.8K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.20 AUD | 0.4% | 0.87 AUD | 0.77 AUD | -0.66 | - | 295.9K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.20 AUD | 9.1% | 0.84 AUD | 0.76 AUD | -0.22 | - | 188.3K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.09 AUD | -13.1% | 0.81 AUD | 0.74 AUD | 0.36 | - | 197.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.26 AUD | -2.7% | 0.78 AUD | 0.73 AUD | 0.98 | - | 863.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.29 AUD | 2.8% | 0.75 AUD | 0.71 AUD | 1.39 | - | 217.4K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.26 AUD | -14.0% | 0.71 AUD | 0.70 AUD | 1.69 | - | 2.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.47 AUD | 8.1% | 0.68 AUD | 0.68 AUD | 1.75 | - | 3.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.35 AUD | 11.1% | - | 0.65 AUD | 1.29 | - | 2.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.