- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
TLK
NYSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT ADR Rep 100 B · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Latest close
15.10 USD
3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 8.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
15.10 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.6%.
Indicator stack
32/58
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
30 Jul
Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 8.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.02
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.6% over four weeks, -1.4% over 12 weeks, and -11.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change98.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change20.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 97%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value37/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth37/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 62.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 23.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 40.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 25.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 26.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -6.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -44.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 8.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
8 positive · 25 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank25 / 100
Group average2.7%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD48.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Telecom Services
4-week rank13 / 55
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth30.9%
Trend30.9%active weekly trend signals
MD23.6%positive activity pressure
RS23.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors31/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 63 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
Rp49,858,000,000,000 fiber unit spin-off for Telkom Indonesia (NYSE: TLK) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 15.10 USD | 3.0% | 16.47 USD | 16.85 USD | -0.02 | -22.90 | 4.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 14.66 USD | 1.7% | 16.60 USD | 16.88 USD | -0.52 | -22.95 | 4.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 14.42 USD | -1.4% | 16.76 USD | 16.91 USD | -0.86 | -23.80 | 4.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 14.62 USD | 5.1% | 16.94 USD | 16.94 USD | -1.02 | -23.54 | 3.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 13.91 USD | 0.1% | 17.09 USD | 16.98 USD | -1.05 | -28.67 | 3.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 13.89 USD | -1.3% | 17.29 USD | 17.03 USD | -0.89 | -28.14 | 4.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 14.08 USD | -5.4% | 17.50 USD | 17.08 USD | -0.93 | -25.94 | 5.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 14.88 USD | 1.5% | 17.70 USD | 17.12 USD | -1.03 | -23.91 | 5.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 14.66 USD | 2.1% | 17.84 USD | 17.17 USD | -1.21 | -24.65 | 9.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 14.36 USD | -5.4% | 18.00 USD | 17.21 USD | -1.38 | -26.09 | 5.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 15.17 USD | 0.4% | 18.16 USD | 17.26 USD | -1.41 | -24.18 | 4.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 15.11 USD | -1.3% | 18.26 USD | 17.30 USD | -1.34 | -23.69 | 4.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.31 USD | -3.4% | 18.37 USD | 17.34 USD | -1.27 | -22.26 | 2.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 15.86 USD | 3.1% | 18.42 USD | 17.37 USD | -1.14 | -19.52 | 3.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.