- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
TAS
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Tasman Resources Ltd · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
0.04 AUD
2.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -15.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
25
out of 100
Latest Close
0.04 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-15.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-17.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
75.0%
39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 27.03% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -15.2%.
Indicator stack
41/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 27.03%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -15.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4312-week average 0.52
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -15.2% over four weeks, -17.0% over 12 weeks, and 178.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-110.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-106.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024
Field coverage 70%
Model confidence 21%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 10.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -16.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 68.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -847.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -307.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -66.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -57.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -4.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -4.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
3 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility22.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+73.2%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-19.6%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+2.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses13
Recent vol22.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol24.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew21.7% / -11.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank- / 100
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth22.0%
Trend22.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS39.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.43; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 27.03%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 27.03% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors20/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 75 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Tasman Resources Shareholders Back Capital-Raising and Director Equity Resolutions Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.04 AUD | 2.6% | 0.05 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.69 | -1.95 | 911.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -13.6% | 0.05 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.55 | -0.24 | 6.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -8.3% | 0.05 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.45 | 19.56 | 2.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 4.3% | 0.05 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.33 | 31.91 | 6.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.05 AUD | -11.5% | 0.05 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.33 | 28.45 | 4.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 4.0% | 0.05 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.28 | 47.07 | 242.3K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.05 AUD | -13.8% | 0.05 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.10 | 45.77 | 66.6K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -1.7% | 0.04 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.02 | 71.18 | 120.4K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -3.3% | 0.04 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.21 | 78.82 | 481.8K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -14.1% | 0.04 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.31 | 93.27 | 7.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 73.2% | 0.04 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.56 | 127.87 | 1.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -12.8% | 0.04 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.68 | 36.52 | 2.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.05 AUD | -9.6% | 0.04 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.58 | 59.36 | 2.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 2.0% | 0.04 AUD | 0.03 AUD | -0.45 | 77.31 | 1.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.