LICI NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Life Insurance Corporation of India · Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Latest close 394.0 INR
-7.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.2%, after a -11.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 394.0 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -7.2% latest completed week
4W Return -11.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 7.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.2%, after a -11.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 7.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3212-week average 0.21

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.1% over four weeks, -1.4% over 12 weeks, and -13.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.2%
4W-11.1%
12W-1.4%
26W-12.6%
52W-13.7%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-35.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-195.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 71%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality61/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth41/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
4.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-14.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-2.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
18.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 15 relevant articles.

4 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-7.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026394.0 INR-7.2%410.9 INR431.3 INR0.67-6.25195.2MOn
31 Jul 2026424.7 INR0.8%411.6 INR430.8 INR0.941.526.9MOn
24 Jul 2026421.3 INR-2.7%411.8 INR430.2 INR0.993.255.5MOn
17 Jul 2026433.1 INR-2.2%411.9 INR429.4 INR1.083.6616.2MOff
10 Jul 2026443.0 INR3.0%411.7 INR428.6 INR1.046.5415.6MOff
3 Jul 2026430.2 INR1.6%411.4 INR427.7 INR0.663.221.6MOff
26 Jun 2026423.4 INR-1.6%411.5 INR426.9 INR0.362.410Off
19 Jun 2026430.1 INR10.2%412.3 INR426.2 INR0.354.1212.1MOff
12 Jun 2026390.2 INR-0.1%413.0 INR425.4 INR0.24-4.022.0MOff
5 Jun 2026390.7 INR-5.0%415.2 INR424.7 INR0.18-3.073.2MOff
29 May 2026411.4 INR1.2%417.5 INR424.1 INR0.221.0134.6MOff
22 May 2026406.5 INR1.7%418.7 INR423.3 INR0.01-1.0952.1MOff
15 May 2026399.6 INR-0.4%420.0 INR422.6 INR-0.16-2.4513.8MOff
8 May 2026401.1 INR0.5%421.5 INR421.8 INR0.03-4.2410.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context