- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
GUBRF
IST
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Latest close
446.2 TRY
12.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.3%, after a 2.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
446.2 TRY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
12.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-24.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
75.0%
39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
12.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.0%.
Indicator stack
41/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.3%, after a 2.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3512-week average 0.71
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.0% over four weeks, -24.9% over 12 weeks, and 68.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change99.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.4%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+12.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.6% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTR Basic Materials
4-week rank14 / 76
Group average-3.3%
Trend breadth26.3%
Trend26.3%active weekly trend signals
MD18.4%positive activity pressure
RS27.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTR Agricultural Inputs
4-week rank2 / 5
Group average8.6%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.35; 4 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Gubre Fabrikalari’s Iran Subsidiary Approves Major 2025 Dividend Payout Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 446.2 TRY | 12.3% | 493.0 TRY | 295.6 TRY | -1.22 | -0.02 | 13.8M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 397.5 TRY | -6.0% | 490.6 TRY | 294.7 TRY | -1.31 | -8.37 | 8.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 422.8 TRY | 2.4% | 489.1 TRY | 294.3 TRY | -1.35 | -5.61 | 11.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 413.0 TRY | -5.6% | 487.1 TRY | 293.6 TRY | -1.40 | -7.68 | 11.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 437.5 TRY | -4.1% | 484.2 TRY | 292.8 TRY | -1.45 | -4.17 | 13.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 456.0 TRY | -5.0% | 481.0 TRY | 291.8 TRY | -1.52 | -0.34 | 1.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 479.8 TRY | -2.1% | 476.3 TRY | 290.7 TRY | -1.43 | 6.43 | 2.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 490.0 TRY | 2.3% | 470.7 TRY | 289.3 TRY | -1.22 | 5.93 | 3.3M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 478.8 TRY | -2.9% | 465.5 TRY | 287.9 TRY | -0.97 | 10.04 | 4.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 493.0 TRY | -10.4% | 460.0 TRY | 286.5 TRY | -0.65 | 16.04 | 1.9M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 550.0 TRY | 1.0% | 453.7 TRY | 285.1 TRY | -0.29 | 30.59 | 3.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 544.5 TRY | -8.4% | 445.9 TRY | 283.3 TRY | -0.25 | 29.04 | 9.1M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 594.5 TRY | -2.1% | 438.0 TRY | 281.4 TRY | -0.20 | 36.20 | 7.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 607.0 TRY | 14.4% | 427.1 TRY | 279.0 TRY | -0.13 | 33.75 | 10.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.