MRD TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Melcor Developments Ltd. · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

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Latest close 18.32 CAD
-2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 18.32 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.8% latest completed week
4W Return -1.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 62-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.7%. Indicator stack 100/46 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.22% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -1.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.87

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, 3.0% over 12 weeks, and 34.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 62 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.8%
4W-1.7%
12W3.0%
26W15.9%
52W34.9%
Active trend streak62 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change38.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-101.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum69/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework89/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
38.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
17.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
74.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-4.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
9/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
13.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
18.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.2%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-3.8%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains17
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split37/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.5% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Real Estate - Development
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

DRM · TOR3.6%MRD · TOR-1.7%GDC · TOR-3.6%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape69/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.79; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.22%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.22% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors82/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 2; Small Cap Core rank 5 SVQF89/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 35.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

Why Melcor Developments Ltd. stock is sliding today Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202618.32 CAD-2.8%17.70 CAD13.04 CAD-0.41-0.0731.1KOn
31 Jul 202618.85 CAD0.1%17.58 CAD12.99 CAD-0.366.2516.1KOn
24 Jul 202618.83 CAD-1.1%17.45 CAD12.93 CAD-0.465.8217.5KOn
17 Jul 202619.03 CAD2.1%17.32 CAD12.88 CAD-0.557.4119.7KOn
10 Jul 202618.63 CAD0.6%17.18 CAD12.82 CAD-0.665.2135.2KOn
3 Jul 202618.51 CAD1.0%17.05 CAD12.76 CAD-0.754.804.6KOn
26 Jun 202618.33 CAD-1.0%16.93 CAD12.71 CAD-0.774.672.4KOn
19 Jun 202618.51 CAD1.4%16.82 CAD12.66 CAD-0.715.883.9KOn
12 Jun 202618.25 CAD2.2%16.68 CAD12.60 CAD-0.714.591.2KOn
5 Jun 202617.85 CAD0.4%16.55 CAD12.55 CAD-0.593.9326.9KOn
29 May 202617.78 CAD1.8%16.42 CAD12.49 CAD-0.242.5441.3KOn
22 May 202617.47 CAD-1.8%16.30 CAD12.44 CAD0.061.6132.9KOn
15 May 202617.78 CAD-2.9%16.19 CAD12.39 CAD0.655.4433.9KOn
8 May 202618.32 CAD0.1%16.06 CAD12.35 CAD1.137.9935.9KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context