- The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
ALPCOT-B
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alpcot Holding AB (publ) · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
1.26 SEK
0.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
1.26 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
55.8%
29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.67% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.4%.
Indicator stack
72/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.67%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6012-week average 0.66
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.4% over four weeks, 6.3% over 12 weeks, and 6.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1048.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-14.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.4%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-7.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Technology
4-week rank44 / 100
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank5 / 13
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth38.5%
Trend38.5%active weekly trend signals
MD38.5%positive activity pressure
RS30.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape42/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis62/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.60; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.67%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.67% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Alpcot takes over customers after financial house loses permit Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.26 SEK | 0.8% | 1.17 SEK | 1.00 SEK | -0.50 | -5.17 | 58.7K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.25 SEK | 1.6% | 1.17 SEK | 1.00 SEK | -0.49 | -4.36 | 5.3K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.23 SEK | -3.5% | 1.16 SEK | 1.00 SEK | -0.35 | -4.78 | 33.1K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.27 SEK | 3.7% | 1.16 SEK | 1.00 SEK | -0.20 | 0.14 | 38.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.23 SEK | -0.4% | 1.15 SEK | 1.00 SEK | 0.05 | -4.52 | 41.5K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.24 SEK | 2.5% | 1.14 SEK | 1.00 SEK | 0.11 | -6.45 | 48.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.21 SEK | -5.5% | 1.14 SEK | 1.00 SEK | 0.21 | -6.34 | 1.0K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.27 SEK | 7.1% | 1.14 SEK | 1.00 SEK | 0.51 | -2.02 | 160.8K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.19 SEK | -5.6% | 1.14 SEK | 1.00 SEK | 0.60 | -6.96 | 31.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.26 SEK | -0.8% | 1.14 SEK | 1.01 SEK | 0.72 | -1.72 | 23.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.27 SEK | -2.3% | 1.14 SEK | 1.01 SEK | 0.80 | -1.49 | 223.0K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.30 SEK | 9.7% | 1.14 SEK | 1.01 SEK | 0.76 | 0.60 | 202.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.19 SEK | -5.2% | 1.14 SEK | 1.01 SEK | 0.74 | -5.07 | 131.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.25 SEK | -3.1% | 1.15 SEK | 1.01 SEK | 0.90 | -1.18 | 47.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.