- The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
HFCL
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
HFCL Limited · Technology · Communication Equipment
Latest close
208.0 INR
7.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 61.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a -4.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
208.0 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
7.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
40.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
32.7%
17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.3%.
Indicator stack
63/57
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
66/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 61.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a -4.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9812-week average 0.92
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.98Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.3% over four weeks, 40.6% over 12 weeks, and 185.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-53.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership97.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-25.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework3/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 195.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 6.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 56.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 31.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 8.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -15.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 21.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 65.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -1.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -1.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment66/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.
1 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+7.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol8.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Technology
4-week rank73 / 100
Group average3.4%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD74.0%positive activity pressure
RS48.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Communication Equipment
4-week rank11 / 18
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth83.3%
Trend83.3%active weekly trend signals
MD61.1%positive activity pressure
RS72.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis87/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.98; 2 reversal markers Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 85 SVQF3/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1529.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment66/100Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.
RHI Magnesita India - HFCL among 6 stocks flashing bullish signals, hinting at a possible uptrend Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 208.0 INR | 7.3% | 129.1 INR | 100.3 INR | 0.60 | 97.90 | 134.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 193.9 INR | -1.5% | 124.4 INR | 99.41 INR | 0.86 | 90.63 | 143.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 196.9 INR | -7.7% | 120.2 INR | 98.59 INR | 1.08 | 103.18 | 155.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 213.2 INR | -1.9% | 115.6 INR | 97.73 INR | 1.24 | 120.34 | 85.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 217.2 INR | 1.3% | 110.7 INR | 96.78 INR | 1.29 | 131.91 | 115.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 214.5 INR | -0.2% | 105.7 INR | 95.79 INR | 1.27 | 135.06 | 19.6M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 215.0 INR | 2.6% | 100.8 INR | 94.84 INR | 1.35 | 144.64 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 209.6 INR | 22.0% | 95.98 INR | 93.88 INR | 1.51 | 146.13 | 26.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 171.9 INR | -8.2% | 91.38 INR | 92.95 INR | 1.60 | 111.42 | 9.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 187.2 INR | 4.1% | 88.18 INR | 92.29 INR | 1.80 | 137.86 | 43.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 179.9 INR | 21.4% | 84.44 INR | 91.54 INR | 1.92 | 132.63 | 371.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 148.2 INR | 0.2% | 80.89 INR | 90.80 INR | 1.96 | 94.91 | 211.1M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 147.9 INR | 4.8% | 78.54 INR | 90.25 INR | 2.01 | 98.39 | 407.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 141.1 INR | 21.6% | 76.13 INR | 89.71 INR | 2.03 | 88.30 | 686.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.