- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.53% based on similar historical setup states.
MTAL
NYSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Metals Acquisition Corp. II · Financial Services · Shell Companies
Latest close
10.15 USD
-0.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a -0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
10.15 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.5%.
Indicator stack
26/69
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.53%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a -0.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0712-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.5% over four weeks, 0.8% over 12 weeks, and 15.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change163.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.33Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-5.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 39%
Model confidence 37%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value39/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Quality36/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Momentum38/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.
10 positive · 13 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility0.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 264 weeks finished lower.
Best week+0.7%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-17.6%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-0.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains9
Flat weeks13
Modest losses3
Sharp losses1
Recent vol0.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/13Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.7%
Trend breadth73.0%
Trend73.0%active weekly trend signals
MD86.0%positive activity pressure
RS46.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Shell Companies
4-week rank81 / 100
Group average-1.6%
Trend breadth59.0%
Trend59.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS1.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis13/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.53%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.53% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors33/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 53; Small Cap Core rank 62 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.
Metals Acquisition Corp. (MTAL) sees Millennium group disclose 7.1% Class A stake Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 10.15 USD | -0.7% | 11.03 USD | 11.51 USD | 0.34 | -23.33 | 176.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 10.22 USD | 0.1% | 11.10 USD | 11.51 USD | 0.16 | -20.42 | 107.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 10.21 USD | 0.1% | 11.17 USD | 11.51 USD | -0.09 | -19.83 | 32.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 10.20 USD | 0.0% | 11.23 USD | 11.51 USD | -0.36 | -20.60 | 40.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 10.20 USD | 0.4% | 11.30 USD | 11.51 USD | -0.55 | -22.22 | 47.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 10.16 USD | 0.0% | 11.36 USD | 11.51 USD | -0.70 | -21.96 | 38.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 10.16 USD | -0.4% | 11.43 USD | 11.51 USD | -0.83 | -20.73 | 85.1K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10.20 USD | 0.5% | 11.49 USD | 11.51 USD | -0.91 | -22.55 | 73.5K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10.15 USD | 0.0% | 11.55 USD | 11.51 USD | -1.00 | -22.52 | 179.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.15 USD | 0.0% | 11.62 USD | 11.51 USD | -1.07 | -22.46 | 29.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 10.15 USD | 0.7% | 11.68 USD | 11.51 USD | -1.13 | -24.81 | 588.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 10.08 USD | 0.1% | 11.74 USD | 11.51 USD | -1.20 | -24.65 | 1.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 10.07 USD | 0.1% | 11.81 USD | 11.51 USD | -1.23 | -24.39 | 13.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 10.06 USD | 0.1% | 11.87 USD | 11.51 USD | -1.27 | -24.66 | 13.7K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.