- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.91% based on similar historical setup states.
VATN
EBS
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Valiant Holding AG · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
153.8 CHF
-3.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a -4.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
153.8 CHF
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.1%.
Indicator stack
52/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.91%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a -4.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3812-week average 0.64
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.1% over four weeks, -2.9% over 12 weeks, and 21.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change8.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-6210.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-3.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains13
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.7% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCH Financial Services
4-week rank42 / 49
Group average1.1%
Trend breadth67.3%
Trend67.3%active weekly trend signals
MD65.3%positive activity pressure
RS40.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCH Banks - Regional
4-week rank15 / 18
Group average-0.2%
Trend breadth55.6%
Trend55.6%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis48/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 9/12.
Activity pressure 0.38; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.91%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.91% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Valiant Holding AG's (VTX:VATN) Half-Yearly Report Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 153.8 CHF | -3.1% | 161.2 CHF | 113.7 CHF | -1.11 | -6.36 | 75.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 158.8 CHF | 2.3% | 161.0 CHF | 113.2 CHF | -1.03 | -1.99 | 73.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 155.2 CHF | -5.4% | 160.5 CHF | 112.8 CHF | -1.05 | -3.98 | 114.9K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 164.0 CHF | 2.2% | 160.1 CHF | 112.3 CHF | -1.11 | 1.42 | 78.6K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 160.4 CHF | -1.4% | 159.4 CHF | 111.8 CHF | -1.21 | 0.10 | 94.0K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 162.6 CHF | 1.6% | 158.7 CHF | 111.3 CHF | -1.26 | 0.29 | 11.4K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 160.0 CHF | 0.5% | 157.8 CHF | 110.8 CHF | -1.27 | 0.67 | 13.1K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 159.2 CHF | -1.8% | 157.0 CHF | 110.3 CHF | -1.23 | 3.36 | 38.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 162.2 CHF | 0.9% | 156.1 CHF | 109.8 CHF | -1.18 | 6.15 | 23.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 160.8 CHF | 1.1% | 155.1 CHF | 109.3 CHF | -1.12 | 8.21 | 22.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 159.0 CHF | 0.8% | 154.0 CHF | 108.7 CHF | -0.95 | 6.27 | 138.6K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 157.8 CHF | -0.4% | 153.0 CHF | 108.3 CHF | -0.33 | 6.19 | 149.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 158.4 CHF | -1.2% | 151.9 CHF | 107.8 CHF | 0.32 | 9.31 | 159.5K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 160.3 CHF | -8.4% | 150.7 CHF | 107.3 CHF | 1.00 | 12.20 | 167.0K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.