- The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
AGI
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
AGI Greenpac Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
709.8 INR
0.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
709.8 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
22.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
28.8%
15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.5%.
Indicator stack
30/71
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
56/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -0.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6012-week average 0.35
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.5% over four weeks, 22.5% over 12 weeks, and -22.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-9.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.78Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength92/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth27/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework88/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 68.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 6.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 12.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 9.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 0.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
5 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-7.9%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average6.0%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS64.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Packaging & Containers
4-week rank17 / 32
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth68.8%
Trend68.8%active weekly trend signals
MD68.8%positive activity pressure
RS65.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.60; No reversal markers Factors76/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 21; Small Cap Core rank 9 SVQF88/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 190.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
AGI Greenpac Limited Begins ₹1,000 Crore Aluminium Can Plant Project; Shares Rise 3.06% Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 709.8 INR | 0.1% | 611.5 INR | 793.1 INR | 1.19 | 2.78 | 462.7K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 709.2 INR | 5.4% | 611.0 INR | 792.6 INR | 1.26 | 2.89 | 1.3M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 672.8 INR | -3.4% | 612.7 INR | 792.2 INR | 1.24 | -0.48 | 342.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 696.2 INR | -2.4% | 614.9 INR | 791.7 INR | 1.32 | -0.04 | 346.4K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 713.5 INR | 0.9% | 615.7 INR | 791.3 INR | 1.31 | 2.58 | 414.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 707.5 INR | 2.7% | 616.1 INR | 790.6 INR | 1.20 | 1.32 | 138.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 688.7 INR | -5.8% | 617.4 INR | 789.7 INR | 1.07 | -0.63 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 731.2 INR | 13.2% | 620.0 INR | 788.9 INR | 0.97 | 5.50 | 248.2K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 645.8 INR | 7.8% | 621.0 INR | 787.8 INR | 0.81 | -5.31 | 323.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 599.0 INR | 1.5% | 625.7 INR | 787.4 INR | 0.75 | -11.56 | 108.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 590.0 INR | 1.7% | 632.2 INR | 787.2 INR | 0.79 | -14.03 | 589.1K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 580.3 INR | 0.1% | 639.9 INR | 787.1 INR | 0.95 | -16.52 | 650.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 579.5 INR | -7.9% | 648.1 INR | 787.0 INR | 0.88 | -16.92 | 1.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 629.2 INR | -0.8% | 657.0 INR | 787.1 INR | 0.78 | -12.28 | 1.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.