- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
4755
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Rakuten Group, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
886.5 JPY
6.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.3%, after a 10.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 41/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
886.5 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.4%.
Indicator stack
22/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
41/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.3%, after a 10.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.04
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.4% over four weeks, 13.9% over 12 weeks, and 10.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change648.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change43.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment41/100
Weighted news tone is negative across 16 relevant articles.
1 positive · 8 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-7.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+6.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank24 / 100
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD77.0%positive activity pressure
RS23.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Internet Retail
4-week rank3 / 43
Group average2.6%
Trend breadth20.9%
Trend20.9%active weekly trend signals
MD55.8%positive activity pressure
RS9.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment41/100Weighted news tone is negative across 16 relevant articles.
Earnings Beat: Rakuten Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 886.5 JPY | 6.3% | 803.6 JPY | 818.3 JPY | 1.09 | -16.90 | 62.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 833.6 JPY | 6.1% | 807.5 JPY | 816.2 JPY | 1.01 | -20.87 | 67.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 785.6 JPY | -1.7% | 813.2 JPY | 814.5 JPY | 0.71 | -26.26 | 39.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 799.1 JPY | -0.5% | 821.0 JPY | 813.0 JPY | 0.45 | -25.05 | 65.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 803.2 JPY | 5.1% | 826.2 JPY | 811.3 JPY | 0.15 | -30.08 | 81.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 764.0 JPY | 10.7% | 830.4 JPY | 809.7 JPY | -0.18 | -35.26 | 13.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 690.2 JPY | -4.5% | 836.6 JPY | 808.2 JPY | -0.25 | -41.75 | 15.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 723.1 JPY | -2.2% | 845.4 JPY | 807.0 JPY | -0.03 | -41.23 | 23.9M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 739.5 JPY | -2.4% | 852.3 JPY | 805.5 JPY | 0.13 | -35.92 | 13.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 757.7 JPY | 1.7% | 859.4 JPY | 804.0 JPY | 0.14 | -35.61 | 13.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 745.3 JPY | -4.6% | 868.2 JPY | 802.7 JPY | -0.06 | -37.10 | 98.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 781.5 JPY | 0.4% | 877.0 JPY | 801.6 JPY | -0.42 | -31.65 | 110.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 778.3 JPY | 4.1% | 883.7 JPY | 800.3 JPY | -0.81 | -30.48 | 73.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 747.9 JPY | -1.6% | 890.1 JPY | 799.2 JPY | -0.94 | -35.14 | 25.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.