REALFI STO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Realfiction Holding AB (publ) · Technology · Computer Hardware

Latest close 2.51 SEK
-12.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.2%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 2.51 SEK 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -12.2% latest completed week
4W Return 6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -16.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.2%, after a 6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, -16.1% over 12 weeks, and -63.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-12.2%
4W6.4%
12W-16.1%
26W-41.4%
52W-63.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change8296.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-40.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-63.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+40.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-35.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week-12.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses11
Recent vol10.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.5% / -11.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262.51 SEK-12.2%3.15 SEK11.19 SEK0.80-40.9988.6KOff
31 Jul 20262.86 SEK2.1%3.20 SEK11.31 SEK0.78-33.26118.1KOff
24 Jul 20262.80 SEK-1.4%3.27 SEK11.41 SEK0.38-35.47117.5KOff
17 Jul 20262.84 SEK20.3%3.35 SEK11.51 SEK0.18-35.1164.7KOff
10 Jul 20262.36 SEK4.9%3.40 SEK11.61 SEK-0.01-47.96162.5KOff
3 Jul 20262.25 SEK-18.2%3.48 SEK11.71 SEK-0.02-52.7036.6KOff
26 Jun 20262.75 SEK12.2%3.55 SEK11.81 SEK0.19-42.0149.6KOff
19 Jun 20262.45 SEK-7.5%3.62 SEK11.92 SEK0.22-49.96121.1KOff
12 Jun 20262.65 SEK1.9%3.68 SEK12.02 SEK0.22-46.1235.2KOff
5 Jun 20262.60 SEK6.1%3.72 SEK12.15 SEK0.12-48.4546.9KOff
29 May 20262.45 SEK-14.0%3.78 SEK12.25 SEK0.02-52.82301.2KOff
22 May 20262.85 SEK-4.7%3.85 SEK12.36 SEK-0.11-46.90151.9KOff
15 May 20262.99 SEK2.7%3.89 SEK12.47 SEK-0.19-44.9556.4KOff
8 May 20262.91 SEK-9.6%3.92 SEK12.56 SEK-0.21-49.23131.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context