- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.26% based on similar historical setup states.
DG
PAR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vinci SA · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
125.3 EUR
1.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 5.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
125.3 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.3%.
Indicator stack
29/28
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.26%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
48/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 5.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3012-week average 0.47
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.3% over four weeks, 0.6% over 12 weeks, and 5.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-97.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change26.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment48/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
2 positive · 12 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.4%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-8.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains16
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorFR Industrials
4-week rank34 / 98
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD57.1%positive activity pressure
RS45.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryFR Engineering & Construction
4-week rank2 / 6
Group average2.9%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.30; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.26%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.26% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment48/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
Vinci repurchases 285,000 shares under ongoing buyback program Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 125.3 EUR | 1.9% | 125.5 EUR | 108.8 EUR | -0.80 | -3.52 | 4.9M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 123.0 EUR | 3.9% | 125.2 EUR | 108.6 EUR | -0.94 | -3.17 | 3.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 118.3 EUR | 0.3% | 125.1 EUR | 108.3 EUR | -0.89 | -5.39 | 3.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 117.9 EUR | -0.9% | 125.0 EUR | 108.2 EUR | -0.62 | -5.46 | 3.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 119.0 EUR | -7.0% | 124.9 EUR | 108.1 EUR | -0.40 | -4.77 | 4.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 127.9 EUR | -1.7% | 124.8 EUR | 107.9 EUR | -0.39 | 0.16 | 553.5K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 130.1 EUR | 0.3% | 124.5 EUR | 107.7 EUR | -0.55 | 3.31 | 818.7K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 129.6 EUR | 3.0% | 124.1 EUR | 107.4 EUR | -0.69 | 2.50 | 1.9M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 125.9 EUR | 1.3% | 123.6 EUR | 107.2 EUR | -0.82 | 0.36 | 1.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 124.2 EUR | -0.6% | 123.3 EUR | 107.0 EUR | -0.88 | 0.58 | 592.2K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 125.1 EUR | 2.8% | 122.9 EUR | 106.8 EUR | -0.67 | 1.59 | 5.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 121.7 EUR | -2.4% | 122.5 EUR | 106.6 EUR | -0.58 | -0.35 | 4.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 124.7 EUR | -3.2% | 122.3 EUR | 106.5 EUR | -0.30 | 4.03 | 3.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 128.8 EUR | 0.2% | 122.1 EUR | 106.3 EUR | 0.09 | 5.39 | 4.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.