ALUA BUE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aluar Aluminio Argentino S.A.I.C. · Basic Materials · Aluminum

Latest close 934.5 ARS
-4.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 59.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -4.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 934.5 ARS 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -4.4% latest completed week
4W Return -4.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 59.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -4.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.57

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.2% over four weeks, -0.6% over 12 weeks, and 28.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.4%
4W-4.2%
12W-0.6%
26W-8.1%
52W28.4%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-300.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.7%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-4.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAR Aluminum
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-4.2%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026934.5 ARS-4.4%952.5 ARS877.7 ARS-0.30-9.441.5MOn
31 Jul 2026977.5 ARS0.6%954.9 ARS874.6 ARS-0.21-11.231.4MOn
24 Jul 2026972.0 ARS2.4%955.8 ARS871.1 ARS-0.10-11.741.6MOn
17 Jul 2026949.5 ARS-2.7%956.8 ARS867.8 ARS-0.02-11.661.8MOn
10 Jul 2026975.5 ARS-1.8%961.1 ARS864.7 ARS0.15-11.721.3MOff
3 Jul 2026993.0 ARS0.2%960.4 ARS861.0 ARS0.31-8.01216.6KOff
26 Jun 2026991.0 ARS-0.9%962.7 ARS857.0 ARS0.30-6.23414.6KOff
19 Jun 20261,000 ARS-2.8%964.5 ARS853.0 ARS0.35-10.35198.8KOff
12 Jun 20261,029 ARS5.4%964.8 ARS848.9 ARS0.26-9.42601.1KOff
5 Jun 2026976.0 ARS-4.2%967.7 ARS844.6 ARS0.13-6.63629.4KOff
29 May 20261,019 ARS8.6%967.9 ARS840.7 ARS-0.04-5.092.3MOff
22 May 2026938.5 ARS-0.2%966.7 ARS836.5 ARS-0.22-2.902.5MOff
15 May 2026940.5 ARS3.3%962.1 ARS832.8 ARS-0.242.241.9MOff
8 May 2026910.5 ARS-6.1%957.2 ARS829.0 ARS-0.30-3.032.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context