- The trend backdrop is active with a 19-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.22% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
BGC
NASDAQ
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
BGC Group Inc. · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
10.35 USD
-10.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.2%, after a -4.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 63/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
10.35 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-10.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-10.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.0%.
Indicator stack
74/15
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.22%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
43/100 conviction; expected move 7.7%.
News sentiment
63/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
30 Jul
Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.2%, after a -4.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8012-week average 0.86
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.0% over four weeks, -7.3% over 12 weeks, and 2.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 19 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak19 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-281.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-48.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength32/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Value28/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework73/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 24.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 80.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 12.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 11.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 33.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 30.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 8.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 8.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
BGC shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.14, expected move of 7.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction43/100
Expected move7.7%
Put/call volume0.14
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment63/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.
5 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move7.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-10.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.7%
Trend breadth73.0%
Trend73.0%active weekly trend signals
MD86.0%positive activity pressure
RS46.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Capital Markets
4-week rank44 / 84
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth32.1%
Trend32.1%active weekly trend signals
MD36.9%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis68/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.80; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.22%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.22% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors43/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 71; Buyback Yield rank 7; Small Cap Core rank 40 SVQF73/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 191.5 of 718 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options44/100BGC shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.14, expected move of 7.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.7% Sentiment63/100Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.
Unpacking Q2 Earnings: BGC (NASDAQ:BGC) In The Context Of Other Investment Banking & Brokerage Stocks Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 10.35 USD | -10.2% | 10.46 USD | 8.81 USD | -0.67 | -8.66 | 14.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 11.52 USD | -1.1% | 10.41 USD | 8.77 USD | -0.59 | 6.41 | 12.3M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 11.65 USD | 3.1% | 10.32 USD | 8.73 USD | -0.50 | 8.17 | 9.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 11.30 USD | 4.8% | 10.23 USD | 8.68 USD | -0.13 | 3.21 | 12.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 10.78 USD | -2.2% | 10.15 USD | 8.64 USD | 0.37 | -5.84 | 13.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 11.02 USD | -3.8% | 10.09 USD | 8.60 USD | 0.73 | -2.44 | 16.4M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.45 USD | -5.0% | 10.02 USD | 8.56 USD | 0.93 | 1.75 | 28.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 12.05 USD | 1.7% | 9.92 USD | 8.51 USD | 0.74 | 2.01 | 19.7M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 11.85 USD | 9.1% | 9.81 USD | 8.46 USD | 0.75 | 2.80 | 12.6M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.86 USD | 3.9% | 9.71 USD | 8.42 USD | 0.95 | -3.78 | 17.6M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 10.45 USD | -6.4% | 9.65 USD | 8.38 USD | 1.25 | -11.86 | 12.7M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 11.17 USD | 0.0% | 9.61 USD | 8.34 USD | 1.68 | -3.50 | 16.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 11.17 USD | -1.8% | 9.55 USD | 8.29 USD | 1.78 | -2.63 | 15.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 11.37 USD | 1.1% | 9.48 USD | 8.25 USD | 1.88 | -1.42 | 17.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.