- The trend backdrop is active with a 59-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
EPAC
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Megalestari Epack Sentosaraya Tbk · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
59.00 IDR
-4.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -19.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
59.00 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-4.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-19.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-22.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -19.2%.
Indicator stack
100/25
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -19.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6612-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -19.2% over four weeks, -22.4% over 12 weeks, and 321.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 59 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak59 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-196.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership40.47Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-62.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+28.2%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-25.4%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-4.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks3
Modest losses0
Sharp losses9
Recent vol11.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol15.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew14.5% / -11.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average8.6%
Trend breadth13.0%
Trend13.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS65.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Packaging & Containers
4-week rank18 / 18
Group average7.7%
Trend breadth22.2%
Trend22.2%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS77.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.66; 1 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
PT Megalestari Epack Sentosaraya Tbk Reports Earnings Results for the Half Year Ended June 30, 2026 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 59.00 IDR | -4.8% | 57.80 IDR | 22.04 IDR | -0.50 | 40.47 | 244.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 62.00 IDR | 1.6% | 57.67 IDR | 21.74 IDR | -0.15 | 55.07 | 302.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 61.00 IDR | -10.3% | 56.97 IDR | 21.45 IDR | 0.16 | 57.49 | 2.3B | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 68.00 IDR | -6.8% | 56.20 IDR | 21.14 IDR | 0.35 | 80.75 | 2.9B | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 73.00 IDR | 0.0% | 55.27 IDR | 20.78 IDR | 0.52 | 108.43 | 3.5B | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 73.00 IDR | 0.0% | 53.90 IDR | 20.42 IDR | 0.30 | 117.67 | 190.6M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 73.00 IDR | 7.4% | 52.57 IDR | 20.08 IDR | 0.10 | 125.01 | 158.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 68.00 IDR | 23.6% | 51.17 IDR | 19.81 IDR | 0.25 | 107.79 | 410.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 55.00 IDR | 3.8% | 49.90 IDR | 19.70 IDR | 0.22 | 78.92 | 38.6M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 53.00 IDR | -25.4% | 48.83 IDR | 19.67 IDR | 0.61 | 90.50 | 35.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 71.00 IDR | 4.4% | 47.80 IDR | 19.65 IDR | 1.10 | 140.52 | 85.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 68.00 IDR | -10.5% | 46.17 IDR | 19.51 IDR | 1.33 | 138.50 | 33.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 76.00 IDR | -5.0% | 44.73 IDR | 19.40 IDR | 1.56 | 154.21 | 41.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 80.00 IDR | 1.3% | 43.07 IDR | 19.23 IDR | 1.50 | 169.68 | 69.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.