- The trend backdrop is active with a 19-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
TCAP
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TP ICAP Group PLC · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
324.8 GBP
-5.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -7.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
324.8 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-5.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.2%.
Indicator stack
74/52
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -7.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9912-week average 0.97
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.2% over four weeks, 1.9% over 12 weeks, and 15.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 19 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak19 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-68.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-68.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework83/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 35.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 11.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 5.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 13.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -59.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 5.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 5.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 10.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
2 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.9%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-5.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-5.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains12
Flat weeks2
Modest losses5
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Financial Services
4-week rank96 / 100
Group average2.1%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Capital Markets
4-week rank11 / 15
Group average-1.4%
Trend breadth26.7%
Trend26.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS26.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape63/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis87/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.99; 2 reversal markers Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 11; Small Cap Core rank 18 SVQF83/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 45.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
TP ICAP Group plc Revenue Breakdown – LSE:TCAP Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 324.8 GBP | -5.2% | 301.1 GBP | 245.4 GBP | 0.42 | 5.48 | 9.2M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 342.6 GBP | -2.1% | 298.7 GBP | 244.4 GBP | 0.89 | 11.51 | 5.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 350.0 GBP | -0.1% | 295.7 GBP | 243.2 GBP | 1.19 | 15.16 | 3.8M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 350.4 GBP | 0.1% | 292.7 GBP | 242.0 GBP | 1.28 | 16.68 | 4.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 350.0 GBP | 0.9% | 289.5 GBP | 240.8 GBP | 1.34 | 17.59 | 9.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 347.0 GBP | 2.1% | 286.2 GBP | 239.5 GBP | 1.33 | 14.58 | 820.4K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 340.0 GBP | -1.3% | 283.0 GBP | 238.2 GBP | 1.29 | 14.17 | 2.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 344.6 GBP | 0.1% | 280.2 GBP | 237.0 GBP | 1.17 | 17.40 | 3.4M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 344.2 GBP | 8.9% | 276.7 GBP | 235.8 GBP | 1.21 | 16.34 | 1.9M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 316.2 GBP | 3.5% | 273.3 GBP | 234.6 GBP | 1.22 | 8.23 | 1.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 305.6 GBP | -4.1% | 271.1 GBP | 233.6 GBP | 1.27 | 4.19 | 13.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 318.6 GBP | 0.0% | 269.7 GBP | 232.6 GBP | 1.49 | 8.00 | 18.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 318.6 GBP | 0.4% | 267.8 GBP | 231.5 GBP | 1.50 | 10.93 | 12.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 317.2 GBP | 0.3% | 265.6 GBP | 230.5 GBP | 1.56 | 10.09 | 11.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.