- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
6568
TWO
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Rafael Microelectronics, Inc. · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
132.5 TWD
-3.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -5.4% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
22
out of 100
Latest Close
132.5 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-38.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.4%.
Indicator stack
29/22
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -5.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.61
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.4% over four weeks, -38.4% over 12 weeks, and 17.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-35.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-52.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.4%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-13.1%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-3.6%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average12.8%
Trend breadth79.0%
Trend79.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS64.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Semiconductors
4-week rank- / 100
Group average4.1%
Trend breadth61.0%
Trend61.0%active weekly trend signals
MD6.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis26/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 132.5 TWD | -3.6% | 181.4 TWD | 137.2 TWD | -1.53 | -35.74 | 406.1K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 137.5 TWD | 4.2% | 181.2 TWD | 137.1 TWD | -1.50 | -31.46 | 597.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 132.0 TWD | -6.4% | 180.8 TWD | 137.1 TWD | -1.45 | -33.01 | 919.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 141.0 TWD | 0.7% | 180.7 TWD | 137.1 TWD | -1.40 | -29.96 | 592.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 140.0 TWD | -10.3% | 179.8 TWD | 137.1 TWD | -1.38 | -29.48 | 799.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 156.0 TWD | -4.0% | 178.5 TWD | 137.1 TWD | -1.32 | -26.77 | 662.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 162.5 TWD | 1.2% | 176.7 TWD | 137.1 TWD | -1.28 | -26.95 | 650.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 160.5 TWD | -9.1% | 174.6 TWD | 137.0 TWD | -1.12 | -24.95 | 1.4M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 176.5 TWD | 0.0% | 172.4 TWD | 136.9 TWD | -0.81 | -21.26 | 797.3K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 176.5 TWD | -13.1% | 169.8 TWD | 136.7 TWD | -0.54 | -17.55 | 2.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 203.0 TWD | -10.2% | 167.3 TWD | 136.5 TWD | -0.24 | -7.55 | 2.8M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 226.0 TWD | 5.1% | 164.2 TWD | 136.2 TWD | 0.16 | 3.58 | 3.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 215.1 TWD | 4.6% | 160.5 TWD | 135.7 TWD | 0.39 | 4.45 | 3.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 205.7 TWD | -10.9% | 157.0 TWD | 135.3 TWD | 0.84 | 2.69 | 2.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.