- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
GOYALALUM
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Goyal Aluminiums Limited · Basic Materials · Aluminum
Latest close
6.43 INR
-1.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
24
out of 100
Latest Close
6.43 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
3.8%
2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.3%.
Indicator stack
2/21
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.14%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -3.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1112-week average 0.21
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.3% over four weeks, -6.9% over 12 weeks, and -11.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-229.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-91.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength61/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality53/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Momentum55/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Growth53/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework43/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 26.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 23.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -11.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 7.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 5.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -15.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 8.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -1.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 34.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -573.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
2 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.1%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses3
Recent vol1.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS63.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Aluminum
4-week rank9 / 9
Group average8.1%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape21/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis32/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.14%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.14% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors55/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 11 SVQF43/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 897.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
What Goyal Aluminiums Limited's (NSE:GOYALALUM) 32% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6.43 INR | -1.4% | 6.84 INR | 8.46 INR | -0.57 | -7.53 | 288.8K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.52 INR | -0.3% | 6.94 INR | 8.47 INR | -0.35 | -5.75 | 412.7K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6.54 INR | -2.1% | 6.96 INR | 8.49 INR | -0.14 | -3.25 | 224.9K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.68 INR | 0.5% | 6.97 INR | 8.51 INR | 0.19 | -3.71 | 227.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6.65 INR | -2.2% | 6.97 INR | 8.55 INR | 0.44 | -3.94 | 422.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6.80 INR | -2.4% | 6.98 INR | 8.59 INR | 0.55 | -2.34 | 71.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6.97 INR | -0.9% | 6.97 INR | 8.64 INR | 0.56 | 0.73 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7.03 INR | 2.3% | 6.97 INR | 8.68 INR | 0.49 | 1.59 | 46.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.87 INR | 0.6% | 6.97 INR | 8.72 INR | 0.38 | 0.73 | 144.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.83 INR | 1.6% | 6.97 INR | 8.77 INR | 0.28 | 0.96 | 72.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 6.72 INR | 0.1% | 6.98 INR | 8.81 INR | 0.20 | -1.68 | 349.8K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 6.71 INR | -2.9% | 7.00 INR | 8.85 INR | 0.12 | -2.85 | 349.8K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.91 INR | -2.8% | 7.01 INR | 8.91 INR | 0.01 | 0.01 | 350.7K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.11 INR | 0.3% | 7.01 INR | 9.00 INR | -0.12 | 0.37 | 462.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.